Starbreeze Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| STAR-B Stock | SEK 0.08 -0.0005 -0.62% |
The successful prediction of Starbreeze's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Starbreeze AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
As of today, RSI for Starbreeze stands at 34, indicating moderately negative momentum. This range suggests moderated price movement without extreme directional pressure.Momentum
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
The hype-based summary links Starbreeze AB attention patterns with price response and peers.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Starbreeze AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0016 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1.Starbreeze after-hype prediction price | kr 0.08 |
This hype view sits alongside price forecasting, technical analysis, analyst consensus, earnings estimates, and momentum indicators.
Starbreeze |
Starbreeze Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting Starbreeze's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. No prediction model eliminates uncertainty; the goal is to identify scenarios with favorable risk-adjusted probabilities.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Starbreeze AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0016 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000829 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.1 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Starbreeze Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Starbreeze's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Starbreeze | Starbreeze Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Starbreeze AB for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The current forecast range spans downside near 0.0008 and upside near 2.80.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Starbreeze stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Starbreeze stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.4101 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 5.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0016 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0171 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.097 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Starbreeze's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Starbreeze at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Starbreeze's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Starbreeze's historical news coverage.
Current Value
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of Starbreeze AB across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. The practical value is that it frames how far price could retrace or stabilize once the headline cycle loses intensity.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Starbreeze is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Starbreeze backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Starbreeze, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 2.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events | 0 Events | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.08 | 0.08 | 0.25 |
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Hype Timeline
Starbreeze AB is at this time traded for 0.08on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Starbreeze is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.08 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is anticipated to be 0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Starbreeze is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.08. The company reported revenue of 125.69 M. Net Loss for the year was -103.47 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 69.39 M. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Starbreeze can be used to cross-verify projections for Starbreeze. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Starbreeze's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Starbreeze's future price movements. Getting to know how Starbreeze's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MAGI | MAG Interactive AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.17 | 4.10 | -5.93 | 26.84 | |
| FLEXM | Flexion Mobile PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 6.41 | -6.18 | 14.41 | |
| LITI | Litium AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 5.62 | -4.30 | 14.25 | |
| RO | Rolling Optics Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.12 | 0.02 | 27.27 | -17.86 | 54.57 | |
| ALPCOT-B | Alpcot Holding AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.51 | 0.02 | 8.93 | -6.25 | 33.19 | |
| GCOR | Gaming Corps AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 6.19 | -5.98 | 28.72 | |
| CDMIL | CodeMill AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.71 | 0.01 | 6.62 | -5.50 | 19.20 | |
| TAGM-B | TagMaster AB Series | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.42 | 0.20 | 7.39 | -4.88 | 17.15 | |
| PRCO-B | Precio Fishbone AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.15 | 0.03 | 4.00 | -6.14 | 22.11 | |
| FRAG | Fragbite Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.49 | 0.07 | 10.57 | -10.71 | 55.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for Starbreeze
For every potential investor in Starbreeze, whether a beginner or expert, Starbreeze's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Starbreeze Related Equities
The following equities are related to Starbreeze within the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Starbreeze against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Starbreeze Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Starbreeze stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Starbreeze shares will generate the highest return on.
| Accumulation Distribution | 60337.68 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.17 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0806 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0803 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.001 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.0005 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 34.59 |
Starbreeze Risk Indicators
The analysis of Starbreeze's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Starbreeze's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.77 | |||
| Variance | 7.67 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Starbreeze
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Starbreeze AB can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. A disciplined read of coverage helps investors separate durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Starbreeze Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Starbreeze AB is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 469.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 128.6 M |
More Resources for Starbreeze Stock Analysis
Other Information on Investing in Starbreeze Stock
Starbreeze financial ratios provide valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Starbreeze across valuation measures in a consistent way.