STAAR Surgical Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| STAA Stock | USD 19.14 0.75 3.77% |
STAAR Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast STAAR Surgical stock prices and determine the direction of STAAR Surgical's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of STAAR Surgical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of STAAR Surgical's share price is approaching 33. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling STAAR Surgical, making its price go up or down. Momentum 33
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.082 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0133 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3683 | Wall Street Target Price 24.0833 |
Using STAAR Surgical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of STAAR Surgical from the perspective of STAAR Surgical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards STAAR Surgical using STAAR Surgical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards STAAR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of STAAR Surgical's stock price.
STAAR Surgical Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in STAAR Surgical's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards STAAR. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of STAAR Surgical stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 22.5398 | Short Percent 0.1466 | Short Ratio 2.91 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.8 M | 50 Day MA 24.183 |
STAAR Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of STAAR Surgical on the next trading day is expected to be 19.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.39.STAAR Surgical Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to STAAR Surgical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in STAAR. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding STAAR can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around STAAR Surgical. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of STAAR Surgical's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about STAAR Surgical.
STAAR Surgical Implied Volatility | 0.89 |
STAAR Surgical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of STAAR Surgical stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if STAAR Surgical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that STAAR Surgical stock will not fluctuate a lot when STAAR Surgical's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of STAAR Surgical on the next trading day is expected to be 19.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.39. STAAR Surgical after-hype prediction price | USD 20.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of STAAR Surgical to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current STAAR contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that STAAR Surgical will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0556% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With STAAR Surgical trading at USD 19.14, that is roughly USD 0.0106 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating STAAR Surgical's daily price movement you should consider acquiring STAAR Surgical options at the current volatility level of 0.89%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 STAAR Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast STAAR Surgical's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in STAAR Surgical's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for STAAR Surgical stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current STAAR Surgical's open interest, investors have to compare it to STAAR Surgical's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of STAAR Surgical is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in STAAR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
STAAR Surgical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine STAAR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for STAAR using various technical indicators. When you analyze STAAR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
STAAR Surgical Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of STAAR Surgical on the next trading day is expected to be 19.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 0.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict STAAR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that STAAR Surgical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
STAAR Surgical Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest STAAR Surgical | STAAR Surgical Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
STAAR Surgical Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting STAAR Surgical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. STAAR Surgical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.02 and 22.34, respectively. We have considered STAAR Surgical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of STAAR Surgical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent STAAR Surgical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7325 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1843 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6231 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0257 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.3868 |
Predictive Modules for STAAR Surgical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STAAR Surgical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.STAAR Surgical After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of STAAR Surgical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in STAAR Surgical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of STAAR Surgical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
STAAR Surgical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting STAAR Surgical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on STAAR Surgical's historical news coverage. STAAR Surgical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.15 and 23.47, respectively. We have considered STAAR Surgical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
STAAR Surgical is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of STAAR Surgical is based on 3 months time horizon.
STAAR Surgical Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as STAAR Surgical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading STAAR Surgical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with STAAR Surgical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 3.16 | 1.17 | 0.06 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.14 | 20.31 | 6.11 |
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STAAR Surgical Hype Timeline
STAAR Surgical is at this time traded for 19.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. STAAR is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 20.31 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 137.99%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 6.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.51%. The volatility of related hype on STAAR Surgical is about 2771.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.20. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.42) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.26 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.26. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of STAAR Surgical to cross-verify your projections.STAAR Surgical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to STAAR Surgical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict STAAR Surgical's future price movements. Getting to know how STAAR Surgical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how STAAR Surgical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KMTS | Kestra Medical Technologies | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.59 | (7.02) | 20.54 | |
| PLSE | Pulse Biosciences | 0.13 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.85 | (4.35) | 12.19 | |
| NVCR | Novocure | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.95 | (4.90) | 14.06 | |
| AZTA | Azenta Inc | (0.32) | 9 per month | 1.86 | 0.11 | 3.81 | (3.24) | 22.17 | |
| BBNX | Beta Bionics Common | 1.67 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.34 | (6.82) | 50.41 | |
| TRML | Tourmaline Bio | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 6.53 | (2.70) | 58.54 | |
| BLFS | BioLife Solutions | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.07 | (4.03) | 13.74 | |
| TERN | Terns Pharmaceuticals | (0.32) | 11 per month | 2.66 | 0.23 | 13.30 | (6.06) | 76.18 | |
| PGEN | Precigen | 0.30 | 8 per month | 4.66 | 0.06 | 8.52 | (7.08) | 38.64 | |
| ORIC | Oric Pharmaceuticals | (0.07) | 9 per month | 3.06 | (0.02) | 6.63 | (4.36) | 15.34 |
Other Forecasting Options for STAAR Surgical
For every potential investor in STAAR, whether a beginner or expert, STAAR Surgical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. STAAR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in STAAR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying STAAR Surgical's price trends.STAAR Surgical Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with STAAR Surgical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of STAAR Surgical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing STAAR Surgical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
STAAR Surgical Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how STAAR Surgical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading STAAR Surgical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying STAAR Surgical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify STAAR Surgical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
STAAR Surgical Risk Indicators
The analysis of STAAR Surgical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in STAAR Surgical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting staar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.52 | |||
| Variance | 12.36 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for STAAR Surgical
The number of cover stories for STAAR Surgical depends on current market conditions and STAAR Surgical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that STAAR Surgical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about STAAR Surgical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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STAAR Surgical Short Properties
STAAR Surgical's future price predictability will typically decrease when STAAR Surgical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of STAAR Surgical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential STAAR Surgical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. STAAR Surgical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 230.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of STAAR Surgical to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade STAAR Stock refer to our How to Trade STAAR Stock guide.You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of STAAR Surgical. If investors know STAAR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about STAAR Surgical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Earnings Share (1.96) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.069 | Return On Assets |
The market value of STAAR Surgical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of STAAR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of STAAR Surgical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is STAAR Surgical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because STAAR Surgical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect STAAR Surgical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between STAAR Surgical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if STAAR Surgical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, STAAR Surgical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.