Sensata Technologies Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| ST Stock | USD 35.24 0.79 2.29% |
Sensata Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Sensata Technologies' share price is at 54. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sensata Technologies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.855 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.4005 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.6509 | Wall Street Target Price 39.8 |
Using Sensata Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sensata Technologies Holding from the perspective of Sensata Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sensata Technologies using Sensata Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sensata using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sensata Technologies' stock price.
Sensata Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long Sensata Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sensata Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sensata Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 30.0497 | Short Percent 0.0465 | Short Ratio 4.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.3 M | 50 Day MA 33.274 |
Sensata Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sensata Technologies Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 35.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.45.Sensata Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sensata Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sensata. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sensata can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sensata Technologies Holding. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sensata Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sensata Technologies.
Sensata Technologies Implied Volatility | 0.65 |
Sensata Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sensata Technologies Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sensata Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sensata Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sensata Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sensata Technologies Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 35.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.45. Sensata Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 34.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sensata Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sensata contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sensata Technologies Holding will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0406% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Sensata Technologies trading at USD 35.24, that is roughly USD 0.0143 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sensata Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sensata Technologies Holding options at the current volatility level of 0.65%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Sensata Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sensata Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sensata Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sensata Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sensata Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Sensata Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sensata Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sensata. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sensata Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sensata price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sensata using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sensata charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sensata Technologies Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Sensata Technologies Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 35.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.45.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sensata Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sensata Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sensata Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sensata Technologies | Sensata Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sensata Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sensata Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sensata Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.66 and 38.03, respectively. We have considered Sensata Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sensata Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sensata Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5171 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8762 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0271 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 53.4478 |
Predictive Modules for Sensata Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sensata Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sensata Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sensata Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sensata Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sensata Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sensata Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sensata Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sensata Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sensata Technologies' historical news coverage. Sensata Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.78 and 37.12, respectively. We have considered Sensata Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sensata Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sensata Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sensata Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sensata Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sensata Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sensata Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.19 | 0.06 | 0.22 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
35.24 | 34.95 | 0.14 |
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Sensata Technologies Hype Timeline
As of January 27, 2026 Sensata Technologies is listed for 35.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.22. Sensata is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 34.95 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Sensata Technologies is about 158.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.02. The company generated the yearly revenue of 3.94 B. Reported Net Income was 128.48 M with gross profit of 1.06 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sensata Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Sensata Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sensata Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sensata Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Sensata Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sensata Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OSIS | OSI Systems | (7.66) | 10 per month | 2.34 | 0.03 | 4.86 | (3.74) | 20.11 | |
| ITRI | Itron Inc | 1.48 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.51 | (4.16) | 24.28 | |
| NOVT | Novanta | (1.13) | 7 per month | 3.94 | 0.09 | 7.35 | (4.57) | 27.31 | |
| VICR | Vicor | 3.80 | 9 per month | 2.38 | 0.27 | 7.38 | (5.35) | 38.42 | |
| BDC | Belden Inc | 4.07 | 9 per month | 1.76 | (0.04) | 3.11 | (3.32) | 10.85 | |
| BMI | Badger Meter | (11.60) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.78 | (3.12) | 14.11 | |
| VNT | Vontier Corp | 0.13 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.80 | (2.57) | 12.73 | |
| PLXS | Plexus Corp | (2.59) | 9 per month | 2.23 | 0.08 | 4.29 | (3.99) | 11.46 | |
| WK | Workiva | (0.24) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.07 | (3.07) | 10.41 | |
| BOX | Box Inc | (0.04) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.76 | (3.61) | 11.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sensata Technologies
For every potential investor in Sensata, whether a beginner or expert, Sensata Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sensata Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sensata. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sensata Technologies' price trends.Sensata Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sensata Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sensata Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sensata Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sensata Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sensata Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sensata Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sensata Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sensata Technologies Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 18173.37 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.234375 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 34.93 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 35.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.71 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.79 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 54.02 |
Sensata Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sensata Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sensata Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sensata stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Variance | 5.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.7 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.90) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sensata Technologies
The number of cover stories for Sensata Technologies depends on current market conditions and Sensata Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sensata Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sensata Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sensata Technologies Short Properties
Sensata Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Sensata Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sensata Technologies Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sensata Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sensata Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 150.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 593.7 M |
Additional Tools for Sensata Stock Analysis
When running Sensata Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Sensata Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sensata Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Sensata Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sensata Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sensata Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sensata Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.