Samsung Electronics Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

SSUN Stock  EUR 2,050  -30.00  -1.44%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing reference information for Samsung Electronics summarizes the forecasted value and model error statistics based on historical price data. This data is provided for reference and analytical review.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Samsung Electronics Co on the next trading day is expected to be 2,066 with a mean absolute deviation of 59.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,542.As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Samsung Electronics observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Samsung Electronics Co observations. Samsung Electronics's Triple Exponential Smoothing reference values are drawn from available trading data and are presented for informational reference only.
Triple exponential smoothing for Samsung Electronics - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Samsung Electronics prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Samsung Electronics price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Samsung Electronics.

Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Samsung Electronics Co on the next trading day is expected to be 2,066 with a mean absolute deviation of 59.03 , mean absolute percentage error of 5,382 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,542 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Samsung Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Samsung Electronics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Samsung Electronics  Samsung Electronics Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

The next-day forecast for Samsung Electronics Co focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The current forecast range spans downside near 2,062 and upside near 2,070.
Market Value
2,050
2,066
Expected Value
2,070
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Samsung Electronics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Samsung Electronics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.9667
MADMean absolute deviation59.0333
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0336
SAESum of the absolute errors3542.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Samsung Electronics observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Samsung Electronics Co observations.

Other Forecasting Options for Samsung Electronics

Investors evaluating Samsung at any level need to understand the significance of Samsung Electronics' price movement for their investment outcomes. The presence of noise in Samsung Stock price charts demands careful analysis to avoid misinterpreting short-term fluctuations as trends.

Samsung Electronics Related Equities

The following equities are related to Samsung Electronics within the Consumer Discretionary space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Samsung Electronics against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Samsung Electronics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators applied to Samsung Electronics help investors evaluate how the stock tracks overall market momentum and conditions. These signals are used to determine optimal timing for entering or exiting Samsung Electronics Co positions.

Samsung Electronics Risk Indicators

The assessment of Samsung Electronics' risk indicators plays a key role in forecasting its future price and managing investment exposure. Investors who measure Samsung Electronics' risk profile carefully are better equipped to decide how to manage their positions.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Samsung Electronics

Story coverage around Samsung Electronics Co often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.

More Resources for Samsung Stock Analysis

Other Information on Investing in Samsung Stock

Financial ratios highlight how financial values interact within Samsung Electronics. Together, they show how profit and cash flow relate to valuation. The data is structured to allow stable comparisons over time.