Seraphim Space Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SSIT Stock | 127.35 7.35 6.12% |
Seraphim Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Seraphim Space's share price is at 54. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Seraphim Space, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Seraphim Space hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Seraphim Space Investment from the perspective of Seraphim Space response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Seraphim Space Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 123.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 245.05. Seraphim Space after-hype prediction price | GBX 120.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Seraphim |
Seraphim Space Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Seraphim price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Seraphim using various technical indicators. When you analyze Seraphim charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Seraphim Space Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Seraphim Space Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 123.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.15, mean absolute percentage error of 38.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 245.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Seraphim Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Seraphim Space's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Seraphim Space Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Seraphim Space | Seraphim Space Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Seraphim Space Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Seraphim Space's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Seraphim Space's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 119.39 and 127.96, respectively. We have considered Seraphim Space's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Seraphim Space stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Seraphim Space stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0808 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.9754 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.1534 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0357 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 245.05 |
Predictive Modules for Seraphim Space
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Seraphim Space Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Seraphim Space After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Seraphim Space at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Seraphim Space or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Seraphim Space, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Seraphim Space Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Seraphim Space's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Seraphim Space's historical news coverage. Seraphim Space's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 115.78 and 124.22, respectively. We have considered Seraphim Space's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Seraphim Space is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Seraphim Space Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.
Seraphim Space Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Seraphim Space is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Seraphim Space backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Seraphim Space, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.69 | 4.28 | 2.01 | 1.29 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
127.35 | 120.00 | 0.00 |
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Seraphim Space Hype Timeline
Seraphim Space Investment is at this time traded for 127.35on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.29. Seraphim is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 146.58%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.69%. %. The volatility of related hype on Seraphim Space is about 228.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 128.64. About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.01. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Seraphim Space Investment had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Seraphim Space to cross-verify your projections.Seraphim Space Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Seraphim Space's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Seraphim Space's future price movements. Getting to know how Seraphim Space's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Seraphim Space may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HVT | Heavitree Brewery | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.33 | |
| HOC | Hochschild Mining plc | 10.60 | 7 per month | 1.75 | 0.34 | 6.91 | (3.36) | 15.67 | |
| SWT | Switch Metals Plc | 0.00 | 3 per month | 2.45 | 0.10 | 9.09 | (5.00) | 22.55 | |
| RSG | Resolute Mining Limited | 0.40 | 4 per month | 3.31 | 0.13 | 6.03 | (6.21) | 15.24 | |
| 0K2K | Molson Coors Beverage | 0.26 | 8 per month | 1.50 | 0.03 | 3.04 | (2.49) | 7.88 | |
| 0IN3 | Jacquet Metal Service | (0.03) | 1 per month | 1.05 | 0.17 | 3.50 | (1.79) | 11.93 |
Other Forecasting Options for Seraphim Space
For every potential investor in Seraphim, whether a beginner or expert, Seraphim Space's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Seraphim Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Seraphim. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Seraphim Space's price trends.Seraphim Space Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Seraphim Space stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Seraphim Space could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Seraphim Space by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Seraphim Space Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Seraphim Space stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Seraphim Space shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Seraphim Space stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Seraphim Space Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Seraphim Space Risk Indicators
The analysis of Seraphim Space's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Seraphim Space's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting seraphim stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.12 | |||
| Variance | 16.95 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.29) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Seraphim Space
The number of cover stories for Seraphim Space depends on current market conditions and Seraphim Space's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Seraphim Space is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Seraphim Space's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Seraphim Space Short Properties
Seraphim Space's future price predictability will typically decrease when Seraphim Space's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Seraphim Space Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Seraphim Space's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seraphim Space's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 237.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.5 M |
Additional Tools for Seraphim Stock Analysis
When running Seraphim Space's price analysis, check to measure Seraphim Space's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seraphim Space is operating at the current time. Most of Seraphim Space's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seraphim Space's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seraphim Space's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seraphim Space to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.