Sextant International Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Sextant International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sextant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sextant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sextant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Sextant International simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Sextant International Fund are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Sextant International prices get older.

Sextant International Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sextant International Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 24.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.17.

Sextant International Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Sextant International Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sextant International mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sextant International mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Sextant International Fund forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Sextant International observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Sextant International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sextant International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 21.24 24.14 27.04 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 22.65 25.55 28.45 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 18.18 22.30 26.42 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sextant International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sextant International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sextant International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sextant International.

Sextant International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Sextant International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Sextant International Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Sextant International Hype Timeline

Sextant International is at this time traded for 24.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.12. Sextant is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Sextant International is about 82.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.06. The company last dividend was issued on the 19th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sextant International to cross-verify your projections.

Sextant International Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Sextant International

For every potential investor in Sextant, whether a beginner or expert, Sextant International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sextant Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sextant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sextant International's price trends.

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