Swissquote Group Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SQN Stock | CHF 408.80 0.20 0.05% |
Swissquote Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Swissquote Group's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.088 | EPS Estimate Current Year 22.4117 | EPS Estimate Next Year 22.6387 | Wall Street Target Price 511.5454 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.128 |
Using Swissquote Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Swissquote Group Holding from the perspective of Swissquote Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Swissquote Group Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 408.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 384.80. Swissquote Group after-hype prediction price | CHF 409.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Swissquote |
Swissquote Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Swissquote price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Swissquote using various technical indicators. When you analyze Swissquote charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Swissquote Group Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Swissquote Group Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 408.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.41, mean absolute percentage error of 80.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 384.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Swissquote Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Swissquote Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Swissquote Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Swissquote Group | Swissquote Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Swissquote Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Swissquote Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Swissquote Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 406.87 and 410.73, respectively. We have considered Swissquote Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Swissquote Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Swissquote Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6621 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.1933 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.4133 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0139 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 384.8 |
Predictive Modules for Swissquote Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swissquote Group Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Swissquote Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Swissquote Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Swissquote Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Swissquote Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Swissquote Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Swissquote Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Swissquote Group's historical news coverage. Swissquote Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 407.25 and 411.11, respectively. We have considered Swissquote Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Swissquote Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Swissquote Group Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Swissquote Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Swissquote Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Swissquote Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Swissquote Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.93 | 0.38 | 0.35 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
408.80 | 409.18 | 0.09 |
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Swissquote Group Hype Timeline
Swissquote Group Holding is at this time traded for 408.80on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.38, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.35. Swissquote is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 409.18 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 107.22%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Swissquote Group is about 115.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 408.45. The company reported the revenue of 664.33 M. Net Income was 294.17 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 398.35 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Swissquote Group to cross-verify your projections.Swissquote Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Swissquote Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Swissquote Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Swissquote Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Swissquote Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BCVN | Banque Cantonale Vaudoise | 0.40 | 4 per month | 0.66 | 0.16 | 2.58 | (1.47) | 4.69 | |
| VZN | VZ Holding AG | 2.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.64 | (1.88) | 7.64 | |
| EFGN | EFG International AG | (0.24) | 3 per month | 1.15 | 0.11 | 2.85 | (1.92) | 9.10 | |
| CFT | Compagnie Financiere Tradition | (4.00) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.34 | (2.90) | 12.06 | |
| BAER | Julius Baer Gruppe | (7.60) | 2 per month | 1.72 | 0.11 | 2.94 | (3.04) | 9.76 | |
| LUKN | Luzerner Kantonalbank AG | (1.80) | 1 per month | 0.63 | 0.19 | 1.76 | (1.30) | 6.90 | |
| VONN | Vontobel Holding | (0.50) | 4 per month | 0.69 | 0.16 | 2.64 | (1.74) | 6.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Swissquote Group
For every potential investor in Swissquote, whether a beginner or expert, Swissquote Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Swissquote Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Swissquote. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Swissquote Group's price trends.Swissquote Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Swissquote Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Swissquote Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Swissquote Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Swissquote Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Swissquote Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Swissquote Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Swissquote Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Swissquote Group Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Swissquote Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Swissquote Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Swissquote Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting swissquote stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Variance | 3.71 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Swissquote Group
The number of cover stories for Swissquote Group depends on current market conditions and Swissquote Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Swissquote Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Swissquote Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Swissquote Group Short Properties
Swissquote Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Swissquote Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Swissquote Group Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Swissquote Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swissquote Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.9 B |
Additional Tools for Swissquote Stock Analysis
When running Swissquote Group's price analysis, check to measure Swissquote Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swissquote Group is operating at the current time. Most of Swissquote Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swissquote Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swissquote Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swissquote Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.