SOS Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SOS Stock | USD 1.10 -0.11 -9.09% |
SOS's Simple Moving Average reference data reflects the model's output when applied to available daily price observations. This page summarizes the model output and key accuracy metrics for reference. The projected value and error metrics are calculated from available daily price observations. This information is intended as reference material for analytical purposes.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SOS Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.42.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of SOS Limited price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of SOS. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future The Simple Moving Average reference values for SOS are derived from publicly available price data and should be used for informational purposes only. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SOS Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.42 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SOS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SOS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for SOS Limited focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. At the moment, the model places downside around 0.01 and upside around 9.30 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SOS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SOS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.8874 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0111 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0748 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0553 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.415 |
Other Forecasting Options for SOS
Relative Strength Index values for SOS measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. Recognizing these clusters in SOS's returns helps calibrate position size and stop-loss levels. Candlestick pattern analysis of SOS Stock daily data can reveal short-term reversal or continuation signals. Identifying these patterns in SOS Stock data supports better trade timing.SOS Related Equities
Sizing up SOS against these stocks within the Industrials space shows how it compares on key financial measures. Looking at SOS's pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount. Firms that trade at big discounts to peers on core metrics may be worth more research.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SOS Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators provide a structured view of how SOS stock is positioned relative to trends. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in SOS Limited. These signals help validate or refine position timing for SOS. Review these indicators alongside SOS's fundamental data for a complete analytical picture.
SOS Risk Indicators
The analysis of SOS's risk metrics is one of the most important steps in projecting its future price. This process quantifies the risk associated with SOS's and helps determine how to manage it. A structured analysis of SOS's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve forecast accuracy. Investors who carefully evaluate the risks in SOS's are better positioned to make informed decisions.
| Mean Deviation | 6.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.19 | |||
| Variance | 103.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 66.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 55.01 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -8.50 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SOS
Story coverage around SOS Limited often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.
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SOS Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for SOS Limited is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 237.7 M | |
| Shares Float | 998.8 M |
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