Source Capital Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Source Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Source price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Source using various technical indicators. When you analyze Source charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for Source Capital - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Source Capital prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Source Capital price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Source Capital Closed.

Source Capital Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Source Capital Closed on the next trading day is expected to be 48.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.08.

Source Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

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Source Capital Price Prediction

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Source Capital Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Source Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Source Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Source Capital observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Source Capital Closed observations.

Predictive Modules for Source Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Source Capital Closed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 47.23 48.35 49.47 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 43.52 57.54 58.66 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 45.97 47.36 48.76 Details

Source Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Source Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Source Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Source Capital Hype Timeline

On the 29th of January Source Capital Closed is traded for 48.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Source is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Source Capital is about 896.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.33. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.05. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Source Capital Closed recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.22. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2026. The firm had 1:10 split on the February 20, 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Source Capital to cross-verify your projections.

Source Capital Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Source Capital

For every potential investor in Source, whether a beginner or expert, Source Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Source Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Source. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Source Capital's price trends.

Source Capital Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Source Capital Market Strength Events

Source Capital Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Source Capital

Source Capital Short Properties

Additional Tools for Source Stock Analysis