Solstice Advanced Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| SOLS Stock | USD 62.84 0.08 0.13% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Solstice Advanced Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 63.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.91. Solstice Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Solstice Advanced's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.068 |
Using Solstice Advanced hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Solstice Advanced Materials from the perspective of Solstice Advanced response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Solstice Advanced using Solstice Advanced's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Solstice using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Solstice Advanced's stock price.
Solstice Advanced Short Interest
An investor who is long Solstice Advanced may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Solstice Advanced and may potentially protect profits, hedge Solstice Advanced with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 46.844 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.9 M | Shares Short 3.2 M |
Solstice Advanced Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Solstice Advanced's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Solstice. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Solstice can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Solstice Advanced Materials. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Solstice Advanced Implied Volatility | 0.55 |
Solstice Advanced's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Solstice Advanced Materials stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Solstice Advanced's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Solstice Advanced stock will not fluctuate a lot when Solstice Advanced's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Solstice Advanced Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 63.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.91. Solstice Advanced after-hype prediction price | USD 62.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Solstice Advanced to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Solstice contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Solstice Advanced Materials will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Solstice Advanced trading at USD 62.84, that is roughly USD 0.0216 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Solstice Advanced's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Solstice Advanced Materials options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Solstice Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Solstice Advanced's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Solstice Advanced's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Solstice Advanced stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Solstice Advanced's open interest, investors have to compare it to Solstice Advanced's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Solstice Advanced is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Solstice. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Solstice Advanced Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Solstice price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Solstice using various technical indicators. When you analyze Solstice charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Solstice Advanced Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Solstice Advanced Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 63.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.27, mean absolute percentage error of 2.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Solstice Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Solstice Advanced's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Solstice Advanced Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Solstice Advanced | Solstice Advanced Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Solstice Advanced Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Solstice Advanced's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Solstice Advanced's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 60.71 and 66.85, respectively. We have considered Solstice Advanced's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Solstice Advanced stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Solstice Advanced stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1353 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2696 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0262 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 74.9083 |
Predictive Modules for Solstice Advanced
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Solstice Advanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Solstice Advanced After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Solstice Advanced at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Solstice Advanced or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Solstice Advanced, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Solstice Advanced Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Solstice Advanced's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Solstice Advanced's historical news coverage. Solstice Advanced's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.10 and 65.24, respectively. We have considered Solstice Advanced's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Solstice Advanced is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Solstice Advanced is based on 3 months time horizon.
Solstice Advanced Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Solstice Advanced is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Solstice Advanced backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Solstice Advanced, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.57 | 3.07 | 0.67 | 0.05 | 12 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
62.84 | 62.17 | 1.07 |
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Solstice Advanced Hype Timeline
Solstice Advanced is at this time traded for 62.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.67, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Solstice is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 62.17. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.57%. The volatility of related hype on Solstice Advanced is about 3373.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 62.89. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of November 2020. Solstice Advanced had 1:120 split on the 2nd of November 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Solstice Advanced to cross-verify your projections.Solstice Advanced Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Solstice Advanced's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Solstice Advanced's future price movements. Getting to know how Solstice Advanced's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Solstice Advanced may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | 0.22 | 3.07 | (2.15) | 10.56 | |
| ATCO | Atlas Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JHG | Janus Henderson Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.07 | (0.0008) | 1.57 | (2.12) | 4.84 | |
| HLNE | Hamilton Lane | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.45 | 0.15 | 3.12 | (2.49) | 9.90 | |
| PSEC | Prospect Capital | 0.04 | 9 per month | 1.56 | 0.06 | 4.60 | (3.05) | 10.92 | |
| OTF | Blue Owl Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.48 | (2.66) | 7.65 | |
| STEP | Stepstone Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.65 | 0.08 | 3.30 | (2.96) | 6.93 | |
| FCFS | FirstCash | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.68 | 0.06 | 2.22 | (2.65) | 12.46 | |
| VOYA | Voya Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.49 | (0) | 2.25 | (1.78) | 8.14 | |
| CBSH | Commerce Bancshares | 0.87 | 9 per month | 1.19 | 0.02 | 2.40 | (2.03) | 6.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for Solstice Advanced
For every potential investor in Solstice, whether a beginner or expert, Solstice Advanced's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Solstice Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Solstice. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Solstice Advanced's price trends.Solstice Advanced Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Solstice Advanced stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Solstice Advanced could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Solstice Advanced by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Solstice Advanced Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Solstice Advanced stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Solstice Advanced shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Solstice Advanced stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Solstice Advanced Materials entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 86845.36 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.04) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 62.73 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 62.76 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.075 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.08) |
Solstice Advanced Risk Indicators
The analysis of Solstice Advanced's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Solstice Advanced's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting solstice stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.33 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.07 | |||
| Variance | 9.44 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.99 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Solstice Advanced
The number of cover stories for Solstice Advanced depends on current market conditions and Solstice Advanced's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Solstice Advanced is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Solstice Advanced's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Solstice Advanced Short Properties
Solstice Advanced's future price predictability will typically decrease when Solstice Advanced's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Solstice Advanced Materials often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Solstice Advanced's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Solstice Advanced's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 158.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 661 M |
Additional Tools for Solstice Stock Analysis
When running Solstice Advanced's price analysis, check to measure Solstice Advanced's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Solstice Advanced is operating at the current time. Most of Solstice Advanced's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Solstice Advanced's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Solstice Advanced's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Solstice Advanced to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.