South Bow Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SOBO Stock | 27.12 0.36 1.35% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using South Bow hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of South Bow from the perspective of South Bow response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards South Bow using South Bow's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards South using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of South Bow's stock price.
South Bow Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
South Bow's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of South Bow stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if South Bow's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that South Bow stock will not fluctuate a lot when South Bow's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of South Bow on the next trading day is expected to be 27.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.83. South Bow after-hype prediction price | USD 27.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
South |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current South contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that South Bow will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With South Bow trading at USD 27.12, that is roughly USD 0.008306 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating South Bow's daily price movement you should consider acquiring South Bow options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
South Bow Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine South price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for South using various technical indicators. When you analyze South charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
South Bow Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of South Bow on the next trading day is expected to be 27.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict South Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that South Bow's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
South Bow Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
South Bow Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting South Bow's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. South Bow's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.57 and 28.64, respectively. We have considered South Bow's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of South Bow pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent South Bow pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.2628 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0291 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3086 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0115 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.8254 |
Predictive Modules for South Bow
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as South Bow. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as South Bow. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against South Bow's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, South Bow's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in South Bow.South Bow Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of South Bow at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in South Bow or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of South Bow, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
South Bow Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as South Bow is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading South Bow backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with South Bow, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.54 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.12 | 27.12 | 0.00 |
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South Bow Hype Timeline
South Bow is at this time traded for 27.12. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.12. South is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on South Bow is about 137.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.00. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.South Bow Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to South Bow's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict South Bow's future price movements. Getting to know how South Bow's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how South Bow may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FRO | Frontline | 0.58 | 11 per month | 2.53 | 0.02 | 3.42 | (3.95) | 10.94 | |
| CHRD | Chord Energy Corp | (5.39) | 9 per month | 2.00 | 0.01 | 3.54 | (3.61) | 9.26 | |
| WFRD | Weatherford International plc | (3.11) | 9 per month | 1.69 | 0.18 | 4.77 | (3.38) | 13.20 | |
| NOV | NOV Inc | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.74 | 0.20 | 5.89 | (3.46) | 12.79 | |
| CNX | CNX Resources Corp | (0.40) | 10 per month | 1.59 | 0.07 | 3.38 | (2.77) | 8.32 | |
| VIST | Vista Oil Gas | (0.28) | 10 per month | 1.76 | 0.15 | 6.03 | (3.43) | 23.65 | |
| NE | Noble plc | (1.35) | 9 per month | 1.77 | 0.11 | 4.50 | (2.86) | 13.91 | |
| TGS | Transportadora de Gas | 0.05 | 8 per month | 1.33 | 0.1 | 4.45 | (2.66) | 40.09 | |
| AROC | Archrock | 0.70 | 8 per month | 2.00 | (0.05) | 2.47 | (3.45) | 10.69 | |
| MTDR | Matador Resources | (1.93) | 12 per month | 2.77 | (0.02) | 3.10 | (4.26) | 10.82 |
Other Forecasting Options for South Bow
For every potential investor in South, whether a beginner or expert, South Bow's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. South Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in South. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying South Bow's price trends.South Bow Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with South Bow pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of South Bow could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing South Bow by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
South Bow Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how South Bow pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading South Bow shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying South Bow pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify South Bow entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5155.75 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7826 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 26.99 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.31 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.36 |
South Bow Risk Indicators
The analysis of South Bow's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in South Bow's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting south pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Variance | 2.19 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.84 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.21) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for South Bow
The number of cover stories for South Bow depends on current market conditions and South Bow's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that South Bow is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about South Bow's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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