Stella Jones Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SJ Stock | CAD 96.99 0.99 1.03% |
Momentum
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.02 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3297 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.1211 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.6909 | Wall Street Target Price 101.4444 |
The hype-based summary links Stella Jones attention patterns with price response and peers.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Stella Jones on the next trading day is expected to be 96.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.90.Stella Jones after-hype prediction price | C$ 96.99 |
Hype indicators are listed alongside forecasting models, technical studies, analyst consensus, and earnings expectations.
Stella |
Stella Jones Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Stella price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stella using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stella charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Stella Jones on the next trading day is expected to be 96.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.08 , mean absolute percentage error of 1.99 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.90 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stella Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stella Jones' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Stella Jones | Stella Jones Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Stella Jones' predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The current forecast range spans downside near 95.42 and upside near 98.56.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stella Jones stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stella Jones stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1211 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2763 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0831 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0117 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 63.9 |
The degree to which Stella Jones' exhibits mean reversion depends on how efficiently the market prices new information. In highly covered equities, the mean reversion window tends to be shorter.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The after-hype price distribution for Stella Jones helps investors understand how much of Stella Jones' predicted return comes from the central scenario versus tail outcomes. Strategies that rely on tail events for Stella Jones are inherently more speculative.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Historical news patterns for Stella Jones reveal how the market has historically digested different types of information about Stella Jones' business and market environment. Stella Jones' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 95.43 and 98.55, respectively. The model extrapolates these patterns to estimate likely price boundaries following the next significant.
Current Value
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of Stella Jones across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. Stella Jones is Very Low at this time.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stella Jones is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stella Jones backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stella Jones, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.57 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 4 Events | 2 Events | In 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
96.99 | 96.99 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
Stella Jones is at this time traded for 96.99on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Stella is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Stella Jones is about 396.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 96.91. About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Stella Jones was at this time reported as 37.28. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.26. Stella Jones recorded earnings per share (EPS) of 6.11. The company had its last dividend issued on the 2nd of April 2026. The firm completed a 4:1 stock split on 28th of October 2013. Assuming a 90-day horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 4 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stella Jones can be used to cross-verify projections for Stella Jones. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Peer hype analysis helps investors build a more complete picture of Stella Jones' competitive environment by quantifying the market's sensitivity to news across all major players in Stella Jones's sector.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KNT | K92 Mining | 0.04 | 7 per month | 3.99 | 0.10 | 4.61 | -6.74 | 16.04 | |
| MX | Methanex | 0.97 | 6 per month | 3.43 | 0.16 | 6.30 | -4.80 | 20.51 | |
| DPM | Dundee Precious Metals | 0.65 | 4 per month | 3.89 | 0.13 | 5.33 | -4.85 | 19.23 | |
| TXG | Torex Gold Resources | -2.68 | 9 per month | 4.97 | 0.07 | 5.94 | -8.04 | 18.98 | |
| FVI | Fortuna Silver Mines | -0.97 | 7 per month | 4.41 | 0.06 | 6.36 | -7.67 | 21.77 | |
| DSV | Discovery Silver Corp | -0.16 | 8 per month | 5.23 | 0.07 | 7.98 | -8.74 | 26.75 | |
| NG | NovaGold Resources | -0.37 | 9 per month | 5.54 | 0.06 | 7.96 | -8.37 | 31.36 | |
| NGEX | NGEx Minerals | -0.82 | 7 per month | 3.39 | 0.03 | 5.08 | -5.78 | 16.13 | |
| WGX | Westgold Resources Limited | 0.13 | 5 per month | 3.53 | 0.07 | 4.86 | -5.92 | 15.62 | |
| WFG | West Fraser Timber | -0.75 | 8 per month | 2.07 | 0.06 | 3.51 | -3.71 | 13.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for Stella Jones
The price trajectory of Stella is the primary concern for any investor assessing it as an opportunity. Stella Stock price charts are filled with noise that can easily mislead uninformed investment decisions.Stella Jones Related Equities
The following equities are related to Stella Jones within the Materials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Stella Jones against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Stella Jones Market Strength Events
Understanding the market strength of Stella Jones stock enables investors to assess the security's momentum and responsiveness to broader market forces. These indicators are essential tools for timing trades in Stella Jones with greater precision.
Stella Jones Risk Indicators
Reviewing Stella Jones' basic risk indicators is essential for investors who want to forecast its price and manage their investment risk effectively. This analysis helps identify the amount of risk involved in holding Stella Jones' and informs decisions about hedging and position.
| Mean Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Variance | 2.44 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.32 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Stella Jones
A coverage review of Stella Jones helps investors see when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. A disciplined read of coverage helps investors separate durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Stella Jones Short Properties
A short-interest review of Stella Jones helps investors understand whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44 M |
More Resources for Stella Stock Analysis
Other Information on Investing in Stella Stock
Financial ratios for Stella Jones provide valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Stella to other measures in a consistent way.