Sherwin Williams Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

SHW Stock  USD 303.53  -6.85  -2.21%   
The Simple Moving Average reference data for Sherwin Williams is derived from the equity's published trading history. The resulting forecast and deviation statistics are presented as reference data for informational context. Forecast values and accuracy statistics are presented for informational purposes.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sherwin Williams Co on the next trading day is expected to be 303.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 271.10.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Sherwin Williams Co price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Sherwin Williams. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future The forecast reference data presented here for Sherwin Williams Co reflects Simple Moving Average model output and is intended as reference material for analytical use.
A two period moving average forecast for Sherwin Williams is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sherwin Williams Co on the next trading day is expected to be 303.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.59 , mean absolute percentage error of 35.27 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 271.10 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sherwin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sherwin Williams' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stock Forecast Pattern

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Forecasted Value

Forecasting Sherwin Williams Co for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Market Value
303.53
302.03
Downside
303.53
Expected Value
305.03
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sherwin Williams stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sherwin Williams stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.9977
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.5254
MADMean absolute deviation4.5949
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0134
SAESum of the absolute errors271.1
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Sherwin Williams Co price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Sherwin Williams. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Other Forecasting Options for Sherwin Williams

Fibonacci retracement levels applied to Sherwin Stock price swings identify potential support and resistance zones. Extreme price moves in Sherwin occur more frequently than standard risk models assume. Support and resistance levels derived from Sherwin Williams' historical data identify zones where buying or selling pressure has stalled moves.

Sherwin Williams Related Equities

Sherwin Williams's market space within the Materials space is best grasped by looking at the firms listed below. Checking cash flow across this peer set helps gauge Sherwin Williams' relative financial strength. Peer review is most useful when paired with absolute pricing and trend checks. The data below allows side-by-side review across the most common financial metrics.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sherwin Williams Market Strength Events

Tracking market strength indicators for Sherwin Williams provides context for understanding stock momentum dynamics. Tracking these indicators helps identify periods where trading Sherwin Williams is likely to be most rewarding. These tools are essential for timing trades in Sherwin Williams Co with a quantitative framework.

Sherwin Williams Risk Indicators

Properly assessing Sherwin Williams' risk indicators is a prerequisite for building reliable price forecasts. This analysis provides context for determining the appropriate level of risk to accept when holding Sherwin Williams'. Analyzing Sherwin Williams' risk indicators provides a critical input for investment risk management.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sherwin Williams

A coverage review of Sherwin Williams Co shows when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.

Sherwin Williams Short Properties

Short-interest signals around Sherwin Williams Co can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding248.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments207.2 M

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