STONE RIDGE Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SHRIX Fund | USD 9.06 0.01 0.11% |
The Simple Moving Average forecast shown here for STONE RIDGE is reference data produced from the equity's historical price series. Accuracy metrics including mean absolute deviation are provided alongside the projection.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Stone Ridge High on the next trading day is expected to be 9.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0048 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.29.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Stone Ridge High price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of STONE RIDGE. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future This Simple Moving Average reference page for STONE RIDGE presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Stone Ridge High on the next trading day is expected to be 9.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0048 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.000047 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.29 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict STONE Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that STONE RIDGE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest STONE RIDGE | STONE RIDGE Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Stone Ridge High focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. At the moment, the model places downside around 9.00 and upside around 9.12 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of STONE RIDGE mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent STONE RIDGE mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.3001 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0043 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0048 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 5.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for STONE RIDGE
Regardless of investment experience, understanding STONE RIDGE's price movement is essential for anyone considering a position in STONE. Price charts for STONE Mutual Fund are often filled with noise that can lead to poor investment choices if not properly filtered.STONE RIDGE Related Equities
The following equities are related to STONE RIDGE within the Miscellaneous Fixed Income space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing STONE RIDGE against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
STONE RIDGE Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for STONE RIDGE give investors insight into the mutual fund's responsiveness to broader market forces. Tracking these indicators provides context to make informed timing decisions and identify periods where trading STONE RIDGE is likely to be most rewarding.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.06 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.06 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
STONE RIDGE Risk Indicators
A thorough review of STONE RIDGE's risk indicators is an important first step in forecasting its price and managing investment exposure. This analysis provides context for determining the appropriate level of risk to accept when holding STONE RIDGE's.
| Mean Deviation | 0.054 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.0642 | |||
| Variance | 0.0041 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for STONE RIDGE
Coverage intensity for Stone Ridge High matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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