Samfine Creation Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| SFHG Stock | 2.53 -0.07 -2.69% |
Samfine Creation Holdings's Simple Regression reference page covers the model's projected value and error measures derived from recent price data. This information is intended as reference material for analytical purposes.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Samfine Creation Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.50.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Samfine Creation Holdings historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. The forecast reference data presented here for Samfine Creation Holdings reflects Simple Regression model output and is intended as reference material for analytical use. Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Samfine Creation Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.04 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.50 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Samfine Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Samfine Creation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Samfine Creation | Samfine Creation Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Samfine Creation Holdings for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 0.03 on the downside to about 6.85 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Samfine Creation stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Samfine Creation stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.9799 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1557 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0439 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.4955 |
Other Forecasting Options for Samfine Creation
Investors evaluating Samfine at any level of experience must contend with the challenge of understanding Samfine Creation's price movement. The presence of noise in Samfine Stock price charts can significantly complicate investment decisions.Samfine Creation Related Equities
The following equities are related to Samfine Creation within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Samfine Creation against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Samfine Creation Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Samfine Creation Holdings, market strength indicators offer a quantitative way to evaluate how the stock behaves under varying market conditions. These metrics are widely used to refine market timing and identify the most favorable moments to trade Samfine Creation.
Samfine Creation Risk Indicators
Analyzing Samfine Creation's basic risk indicators provides investors with a structured view of the risk-return trade-off associated with samfine stock. Forecasting Samfine Creation's future price accurately requires understanding and quantifying the risks present in the investment.
| Mean Deviation | 3.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.06 | |||
| Variance | 25.59 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Samfine Creation
A coverage review of Samfine Creation Holdings helps investors see when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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Samfine Creation Short Properties
A short-interest review of Samfine Creation Holdings helps investors understand whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 800 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 46.2 M |