Sea Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| SE Stock | USD 126.39 0.16 0.13% |
Sea Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sea stock prices and determine the direction of Sea's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sea's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Sea's share price is approaching 43. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sea, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.458 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9512 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.501 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.9988 | Wall Street Target Price 190.0381 |
Using Sea hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sea from the perspective of Sea response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sea using Sea's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sea using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sea's stock price.
Sea Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Sea's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Sea. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Sea stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 153.9557 | Short Percent 0.0557 | Short Ratio 3.79 | Shares Short Prior Month 14.8 M | 50 Day MA 130.6178 |
Sea Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sea on the next trading day is expected to be 126.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 170.51.Sea Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sea's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sea. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sea can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sea. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sea's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sea.
Sea Implied Volatility | 0.55 |
Sea's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sea stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sea's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sea stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sea's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sea on the next trading day is expected to be 126.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 170.51. Sea after-hype prediction price | USD 126.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sea to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sea contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sea will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Sea trading at USD 126.39, that is roughly USD 0.0434 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sea's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sea options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Sea Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sea's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sea's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sea stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sea's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sea's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sea is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sea. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sea Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sea price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sea using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sea charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sea Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sea on the next trading day is expected to be 126.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.89, mean absolute percentage error of 15.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 170.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sea Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sea's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sea Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sea | Sea Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sea Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sea's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sea's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 123.60 and 128.92, respectively. We have considered Sea's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sea stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sea stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.4798 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.89 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0216 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 170.5118 |
Predictive Modules for Sea
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sea. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sea's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sea After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sea at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sea or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sea, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sea Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sea's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sea's historical news coverage. Sea's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 123.89 and 129.21, respectively. We have considered Sea's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sea is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sea is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sea Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sea is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sea backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sea, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 2.66 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
126.39 | 126.55 | 0.00 |
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Sea Hype Timeline
As of January 29, 2026 Sea is listed for 126.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Sea is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sea is about 2353.98%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 126.43. About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.42. Sea last dividend was issued on the 1st of March 2017. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sea to cross-verify your projections.Sea Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sea's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sea's future price movements. Getting to know how Sea's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sea may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CVNA | Carvana Co | (2.62) | 10 per month | 4.51 | 0.07 | 6.78 | (6.31) | 17.22 | |
| MELI | MercadoLibre | 12.77 | 9 per month | 2.60 | 0.02 | 3.72 | (3.55) | 14.15 | |
| NKE | Nike Inc | 0.14 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.87 | (3.07) | 14.43 | |
| SBUX | Starbucks | 2.61 | 7 per month | 1.46 | 0.06 | 3.35 | (2.53) | 8.04 | |
| CPNG | Coupang LLC | (0.33) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 2.66 | (5.07) | 11.82 | |
| ABNB | Airbnb Inc | (1.94) | 8 per month | 1.69 | (0.01) | 2.66 | (2.53) | 8.82 | |
| ORLY | OReilly Automotive | (1.42) | 9 per month | 1.38 | (0.02) | 2.32 | (1.85) | 6.34 | |
| JD | JD Inc Adr | (0.51) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.89 | (2.77) | 7.60 | |
| RCL | Royal Caribbean Cruises | (0.73) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.50 | (4.25) | 11.67 | |
| MAR | Marriott International | (6.84) | 10 per month | 1.04 | 0.1 | 3.48 | (1.63) | 8.46 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sea
For every potential investor in Sea, whether a beginner or expert, Sea's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sea Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sea's price trends.Sea Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sea stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sea could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sea by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sea Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sea stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sea shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sea stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sea entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 126.39 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 126.39 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.08) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.16) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 43.62 |
Sea Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sea's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sea's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.61 | |||
| Variance | 6.83 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sea
The number of cover stories for Sea depends on current market conditions and Sea's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sea is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sea's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sea Short Properties
Sea's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sea's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sea often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sea's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sea's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 604.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sea to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Sea Stock refer to our How to Trade Sea Stock guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Will Interactive Home Entertainment sector continue expanding? Could Sea diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sea. If investors know Sea will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Sea data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.458 | Earnings Share 2.29 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.383 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Sea using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Sea's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Sea's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sea's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sea is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Sea's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.