Security First Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression
| SCFR Stock | USD 0.13 -0.01 -7.14% |
This page provides Simple Regression reference data for Security First Intl, calculated from historical daily prices. The forecast output and associated deviation metrics are shown for informational use.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Security First Intl on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.41.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Security First Intl historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. Security First's Simple Regression reference data is provided for informational and analytical purposes and does not constitute a trading recommendation. Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Security First Intl on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.000071 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.41 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Security Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Security First's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Security First | Security First Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Security First Intl for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The current forecast range spans downside near 0.0013 and upside near 3.98.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Security First pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Security First pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.5509 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0067 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0454 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for Security First
The price movement of Security is a central concern for all potential investors, regardless of their level of expertise. Security Pink Sheet price charts can be difficult to interpret due to the noise present in the data.Security First Related Equities
The following equities are related to Security First within the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Security First against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Security First Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Security First pink sheet help investors assess the relative momentum and resilience of the security in different market environments. By using these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell Security First Intl.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.13 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.13 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.01 |
Security First Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Security First is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. By identifying the level of risk embedded in Security First's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing and risk mitigation.
| Mean Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.85 | |||
| Variance | 14.83 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Security First
Coverage intensity for Security First Intl matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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