Scatec Solar Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SCATC Stock  NOK 115.40  1.10  0.96%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Scatec Solar OL on the next trading day is expected to be 118.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.10. Scatec Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Scatec Solar's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Scatec Solar's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Scatec Solar OL, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Scatec Solar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Scatec Solar OL from the perspective of Scatec Solar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Scatec Solar OL on the next trading day is expected to be 118.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.10.

Scatec Solar after-hype prediction price

    
  NOK 115.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Scatec Solar to cross-verify your projections.

Scatec Solar Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Scatec price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Scatec using various technical indicators. When you analyze Scatec charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Scatec Solar polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Scatec Solar OL as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Scatec Solar Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Scatec Solar OL on the next trading day is expected to be 118.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13, mean absolute percentage error of 1.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Scatec Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Scatec Solar's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Scatec Solar Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Scatec SolarScatec Solar Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Scatec Solar Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Scatec Solar's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Scatec Solar's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 117.08 and 119.89, respectively. We have considered Scatec Solar's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
115.40
117.08
Downside
118.49
Expected Value
119.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Scatec Solar stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Scatec Solar stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.6865
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1329
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0108
SAESum of the absolute errors69.1042
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Scatec Solar historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Scatec Solar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scatec Solar OL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Scatec Solar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
113.99115.40116.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.0693.47126.94
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Scatec Solar

For every potential investor in Scatec, whether a beginner or expert, Scatec Solar's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Scatec Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Scatec. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Scatec Solar's price trends.

Scatec Solar Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Scatec Solar stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Scatec Solar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Scatec Solar by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Scatec Solar OL Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Scatec Solar's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Scatec Solar's current price.

Scatec Solar Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Scatec Solar stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Scatec Solar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Scatec Solar stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Scatec Solar OL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Scatec Solar Risk Indicators

The analysis of Scatec Solar's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Scatec Solar's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scatec stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Scatec Stock

Scatec Solar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Scatec Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Scatec with respect to the benefits of owning Scatec Solar security.