Sartorius Aktiengesellscha Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SARTF Stock | USD 226.33 0.00 0.00% |
Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft's Double Exponential Smoothing forecast reference data is generated from the equity's historical trading prices. This page presents the model output and associated accuracy measures as reference information.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 226.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.33.When Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Sartorius Aktiengesellscha observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. The Double Exponential Smoothing projections for Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft are reference data based on historical daily prices and are provided as informational context. Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 226.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.45 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.33 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sartorius Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sartorius Aktiengesellscha's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Sartorius Aktiengesellscha's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sartorius Aktiengesellscha pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sartorius Aktiengesellscha pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1073 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1073 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 5.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sartorius Aktiengesellscha
The price trajectory of Sartorius is the primary concern for any investor assessing it as an opportunity. Sartorius Pink Sheet price charts are filled with noise that can easily mislead uninformed investment decisions.Sartorius Aktiengesellscha Related Equities
The following equities are related to Sartorius Aktiengesellscha within the Medical Instruments & Supplies space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Sartorius Aktiengesellscha against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sartorius Aktiengesellscha Market Strength Events
Understanding the market strength of Sartorius Aktiengesellscha pink sheet enables investors to assess the security's momentum and responsiveness to broader market forces. These indicators are essential tools for timing trades in Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft with greater precision.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 226.33 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 226.33 |
Sartorius Aktiengesellscha Risk Indicators
Reviewing Sartorius Aktiengesellscha's basic risk indicators is essential for investors who want to forecast its price and manage their investment risk effectively. This analysis helps identify the amount of risk involved in holding Sartorius Aktiengesellscha's and informs decisions about hedging and position.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0842 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.288 | |||
| Variance | 0.0829 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sartorius Aktiengesellscha
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Financial ratios reflect how major financial figures connect within Sartorius Aktiengesellscha. They frame financial performance across earnings, cash flow, and valuation. This format maintains consistency across different reporting periods.