S A P Stock Forward View
| SAP Stock | CAD 42.26 -0.77 -1.79% |
Saputo Inc's Naive Prediction reference page covers the model's projected value and error measures from recent price data. The forecast output and associated deviation metrics are shown for informational use.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Saputo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 42.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.68.This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Saputo Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict S A P. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights. All Naive Prediction forecast figures shown for Saputo Inc are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices. Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Saputo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 42.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.26 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.68 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SAP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that S A P's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest S A P | S A P Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Saputo Inc uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The current forecast range spans downside near 40.93 and upside near 43.60.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of S A P stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent S A P stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5833 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4303 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0103 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.6781 |
Other Forecasting Options for S A P
Bollinger Bands applied to SAP Stock price data measure how far SAP has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to S A P's price data.S A P Related Equities
Investors studying S A P often look at related stocks within the Consumer Staples space to gauge pricing and results. Growth rate gaps between S A P and its peers often explain pricing differences in the market. Identifying peers that steadily beat or lag S A P across many periods highlights durable competitive gaps.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
S A P Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Saputo Inc, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. These indicators add context to timing decisions around Saputo Inc positions.
S A P Risk Indicators
Analyzing S A P's basic risk indicators provides investors with a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for sap stock. By identifying the level of risk embedded in S A P's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Variance | 1.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.12 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for S A P
Story coverage around Saputo Inc often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
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S A P Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Saputo Inc is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 423.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 257 M |
More Resources for SAP Stock Analysis
Other Information on Investing in SAP Stock
Key financial relationships within S A P are expressed through its ratios. These measures reflect profitability, cash flow, and enterprise value.