SMA Solar Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| S92 Stock | EUR 35.90 0.08 0.22% |
SMA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of SMA Solar's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of SMA Solar's share price is at 55. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SMA Solar, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.81) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.19) | EPS Estimate Current Year (5.14) | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7434 | Wall Street Target Price 29.8 |
Using SMA Solar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SMA Solar Technology from the perspective of SMA Solar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SMA Solar Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 35.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.10. SMA Solar after-hype prediction price | EUR 36.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SMA |
SMA Solar Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SMA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SMA using various technical indicators. When you analyze SMA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SMA Solar Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of SMA Solar Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 35.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17, mean absolute percentage error of 2.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SMA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SMA Solar's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SMA Solar Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SMA Solar | SMA Solar Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
SMA Solar Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SMA Solar's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SMA Solar's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.14 and 39.66, respectively. We have considered SMA Solar's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SMA Solar stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SMA Solar stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1579 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2095 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1712 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0343 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 69.1 |
Predictive Modules for SMA Solar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SMA Solar Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SMA Solar After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SMA Solar at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SMA Solar or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SMA Solar, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SMA Solar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SMA Solar's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SMA Solar's historical news coverage. SMA Solar's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.64 and 40.16, respectively. We have considered SMA Solar's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SMA Solar is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SMA Solar Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
SMA Solar Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SMA Solar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SMA Solar backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SMA Solar, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 3.76 | 0.50 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
35.90 | 36.40 | 1.39 |
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SMA Solar Hype Timeline
SMA Solar Technology is at this time traded for 35.90on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. SMA is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 1.39%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on SMA Solar is about 13852.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.89. The company reported the revenue of 1.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (117.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 78.21 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SMA Solar to cross-verify your projections.SMA Solar Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SMA Solar's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SMA Solar's future price movements. Getting to know how SMA Solar's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SMA Solar may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RW5 | Brookfield Asset Management | (1.68) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.10 | (5.77) | 12.44 | |
| 0QN | Ares Management Corp | 1.12 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.43 | (3.67) | 13.27 | |
| 8PM | PennyMac Mortgage Investment | 0.19 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.61 | (1.95) | 15.34 | |
| 4JF | Jupiter Fund Management | (0.01) | 6 per month | 1.46 | 0.17 | 4.62 | (2.52) | 10.83 | |
| 14N1 | New Residential Investment | 0.19 | 2 per month | 1.61 | (0.02) | 2.41 | (1.95) | 10.44 | |
| 8G7 | LANDSEA GREEN MANAGEMENT | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HKT | HK Electric Investments | 0.00 | 6 per month | 1.16 | 0.05 | 2.82 | (2.78) | 7.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for SMA Solar
For every potential investor in SMA, whether a beginner or expert, SMA Solar's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SMA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SMA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SMA Solar's price trends.SMA Solar Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SMA Solar stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SMA Solar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SMA Solar by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SMA Solar Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SMA Solar stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SMA Solar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SMA Solar stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SMA Solar Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SMA Solar Risk Indicators
The analysis of SMA Solar's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SMA Solar's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sma stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.93 | |||
| Variance | 15.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.84) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SMA Solar
The number of cover stories for SMA Solar depends on current market conditions and SMA Solar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SMA Solar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SMA Solar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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SMA Solar Short Properties
SMA Solar's future price predictability will typically decrease when SMA Solar's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SMA Solar Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SMA Solar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SMA Solar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.7 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -17.4 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.5 |
Other Information on Investing in SMA Stock
SMA Solar financial ratios help investors to determine whether SMA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SMA with respect to the benefits of owning SMA Solar security.