SentinelOne Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| S Stock | USD 14.29 -0.23 -1.58% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year -1.20 | EPS Estimate Next Year -0.70 | Wall Street Target Price 18.6912 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter -0.18 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.202 |
This view connects SentinelOne headline attention with price response and peer context. Sentiment signals for SentinelOne are framed using options positioning and short interest data.
Short Interest Detail for SentinelOne
For SentinelOne investors, short interest trends complement other technical and fundamental signals. A stock with high short interest and improving fundamentals is often a strong candidate for a price recovery.
200 Day MA 16.452 | Short Percent 0.0689 | Short Ratio 2.68 | Shares Short Prior Month 21.2 M | 50 Day MA 13.9578 |
RSI Momentum View - SentinelOne
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SentinelOne on the next trading day is expected to be 14.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.98.Price Response to Hype - SentinelOne
Tracking public sentiment around SentinelOne quantifies the psychological premium or discount embedded in SentinelOne's current price. Extreme sentiment readings frequently mark turning points in the stock.
The ratio of positive to negative sentiment signals around SentinelOne provides a composite view of how the stock is perceived by the market. A sharp shift in this ratio often precedes a change in price direction.
SentinelOne Implied Volatility | 1.54 |
SentinelOne's implied volatility tends to be mean-reverting. Periods of extremely high implied volatility in SentinelOne options are often followed by a contraction as uncertainty resolves, eroding the value of recently purchased options.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SentinelOne on the next trading day is expected to be 14.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.98.SentinelOne after-hype prediction price | $ 14.54 |
This module presents attention signals alongside forecasting, technical analysis, analyst consensus, and earnings.
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Rule 16 Overview for current SentinelOne contract
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 9.63% for the 2026-03-20 options. The figure is a neutral volatility reference; near $ 14.29, it implies about $ 1.38 per day.
Open Interest Map for SentinelOne Options 2026-03-20
The open interest view shows outstanding SentinelOne option contracts, providing context on participation and contract flow.
SentinelOne Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SentinelOne price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SentinelOne using various technical indicators. When you analyze SentinelOne charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of SentinelOne on the next trading day is expected to be 14.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.14 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.98 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SentinelOne Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SentinelOne's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SentinelOne | SentinelOne Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for SentinelOne focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SentinelOne stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SentinelOne stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.3092 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0038 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2997 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0215 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.9792 |
Mean reversion in SentinelOne is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Investors who rely solely on expected value estimates for SentinelOne miss the full picture. SentinelOne's probability distribution reveals that expected value can be achieved through very different combinations of outcomes, each with different risk implications.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The after-news price analysis for SentinelOne is built on the observation that SentinelOne's market reactions to news are not random but follow recognizable patterns. SentinelOne's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.83 and 17.25, respectively. Identifying and quantifying these patterns for SentinelOne is the core purpose of this model.
Current Value
The next after-hype price estimate for SentinelOne is modeled on a 3 months horizon and is intended to show how price could normalize after sentiment pressure fades. SentinelOne is Low at this time.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SentinelOne is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SentinelOne backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SentinelOne, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.72 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 9 Events | 7 Events | In 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.29 | 14.54 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
As of March 16, 2026 SentinelOne is listed for 14.29. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. SentinelOne is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on SentinelOne is about 605.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.28. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of SentinelOne was at this time reported as 4.29. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.26. SentinelOne completed a 2:1 stock split on 7th of June 1999. Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in 9 days. Cross-verify projections for SentinelOne using Historical Fundamental Analysis of SentinelOne. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
The information ratio and semi-deviation metrics in the peer comparison table for SentinelOne provide a risk-adjusted view of how efficiently SentinelOne's competitors convert news exposure into returns relative to downside risk.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCCS | CCC Intelligent Solutions | -0.22 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 2.44 | -3.05 | 9.13 | |
| WEX | Wex Inc | 0.53 | 8 per month | 2.21 | 0.06 | 3.59 | -3.62 | 14.87 | |
| FOUR | Shift4 Payments | -1.49 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.15 | 5.12 | -7.10 | 23.18 | |
| STNE | StoneCo | -0.95 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.0015 | 4.89 | -5.21 | 27.22 | |
| CORZ | Core Scientific Common | -0.16 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 7.30 | -7.56 | 20.64 | |
| ACIW | ACI Worldwide | 1.27 | 12 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 2.96 | -4.48 | 12.00 | |
| FROG | Jfrog | 1.46 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.11 | 6.39 | -7.95 | 31.73 | |
| QLYS | Qualys Inc | -5.62 | 12 per month | 0.00 | -0.19 | 2.80 | -5.54 | 15.94 | |
| BOX | Box Inc | 0.66 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.12 | 3.02 | -4.59 | 12.56 | |
| OS | OneStream Class A | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.80 | 0.12 | 3.71 | -2.29 | 29.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for SentinelOne
For investors considering SentinelOne, SentinelOne's price movement is the most direct driver of investment returns. Noise in SentinelOne Stock price charts can make identifying meaningful trends difficult without dedicated analytical tools.SentinelOne Related Equities
The following equities are related to SentinelOne within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing SentinelOne against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SentinelOne Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for SentinelOne provide investors with a view of how the stock performs across different market environments. By analyzing these indicators, traders can determine the best moments to enter or exit positions in SentinelOne.
SentinelOne Risk Indicators
A structured analysis of SentinelOne's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve the accuracy of price forecasts. Understanding the risk embedded in SentinelOne's allows investors to decide whether to accept, reduce, or hedge their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Variance | 7.12 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SentinelOne
A coverage review of SentinelOne helps investors see when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
SentinelOne Short Properties
A short-interest review of SentinelOne helps investors understand whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 330.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 628.7 M |
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