Revvity Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

RVTY Stock   108.80  0.31  0.29%   
Revvity Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Revvity's share price is at 56 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Revvity, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Revvity's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Revvity, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Revvity's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.47)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.5389
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.9479
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.3227
Wall Street Target Price
116.1875
Using Revvity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Revvity from the perspective of Revvity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Revvity using Revvity's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Revvity using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Revvity's stock price.

Revvity Short Interest

An investor who is long Revvity may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Revvity and may potentially protect profits, hedge Revvity with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
94.9648
Short Percent
0.0888
Short Ratio
5.51
Shares Short Prior Month
6.1 M
50 Day MA
102.9304

Revvity Relative Strength Index

The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Revvity on the next trading day is expected to be 108.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 99.39.

Revvity Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Revvity's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Revvity. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Revvity can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Revvity. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Revvity's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Revvity.

Revvity Implied Volatility

    
  0.62  
Revvity's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Revvity stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Revvity's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Revvity stock will not fluctuate a lot when Revvity's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Revvity on the next trading day is expected to be 108.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 99.39.

Revvity after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 110.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Revvity to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Revvity Stock please use our How to Invest in Revvity guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Revvity contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Revvity will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0388% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Revvity trading at USD 108.8, that is roughly USD 0.0422 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Revvity's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Revvity options at the current volatility level of 0.62%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Revvity Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Revvity's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Revvity's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Revvity stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Revvity's open interest, investors have to compare it to Revvity's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Revvity is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Revvity. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Revvity Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Revvity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Revvity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Revvity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Revvity simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Revvity are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Revvity prices get older.

Revvity Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Revvity on the next trading day is expected to be 108.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.66, mean absolute percentage error of 4.79, and the sum of the absolute errors of 99.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Revvity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Revvity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Revvity Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Revvity  Revvity Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Revvity Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Revvity's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Revvity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 106.68 and 110.92, respectively. We have considered Revvity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
108.80
106.68
Downside
108.80
Expected Value
110.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Revvity stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Revvity stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.8396
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2862
MADMean absolute deviation1.6565
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0161
SAESum of the absolute errors99.39
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Revvity forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Revvity observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Revvity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Revvity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Revvity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
108.09110.21112.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.2398.35119.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
94.60107.82121.04
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
105.73116.19128.97
Details

Revvity After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Revvity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Revvity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Revvity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Revvity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Revvity's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Revvity's historical news coverage. Revvity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 108.09 and 112.33, respectively. We have considered Revvity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
108.80
108.09
Downside
110.21
After-hype Price
112.33
Upside
Revvity is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Revvity is based on 3 months time horizon.

Revvity Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Revvity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Revvity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Revvity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
2.12
  1.41 
  0.40 
12 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
108.80
110.21
1.30 
41.98  
Notes

Revvity Hype Timeline

Revvity is at this time traded for 108.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.41, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.4. Revvity is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 110.21 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 41.98%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.3%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Revvity is about 149.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 109.20. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.76 B. Net Income was 283.07 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.55 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Revvity to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Revvity Stock please use our How to Invest in Revvity guide.

Revvity Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Revvity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Revvity's future price movements. Getting to know how Revvity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Revvity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
QGENQiagen NV(1.22)10 per month 1.17  0.08  2.86 (2.50) 19.10 
ENSGThe Ensign Group 3.91 15 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.51 (1.62) 6.93 
GHGuardant Health 3.05 9 per month 1.57  0.18  5.53 (3.15) 33.86 
RDYDr Reddys Laboratories 0.06 9 per month 0.00 (0.1) 1.72 (2.11) 9.05 
ICLRICON PLC 4.72 10 per month 2.25  0.02  4.70 (3.51) 13.31 
HIMSHims Hers Health 0.15 12 per month 0.00 (0.24) 4.19 (6.17) 15.28 
EXASEXACT Sciences 0.28 8 per month 0.00  0.20  3.77 (0.91) 24.01 
CRLCharles River Laboratories 3.09 11 per month 1.66  0.04  3.93 (3.02) 8.07 
SOLVSolventum Corp 0.25 10 per month 1.61  0.04  2.91 (2.08) 14.51 
ALGNAlign Technology(0.10)8 per month 1.21  0.13  4.53 (2.32) 10.81 

Other Forecasting Options for Revvity

For every potential investor in Revvity, whether a beginner or expert, Revvity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Revvity Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Revvity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Revvity's price trends.

Revvity Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Revvity stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Revvity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Revvity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Revvity Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Revvity stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Revvity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Revvity stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Revvity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Revvity Risk Indicators

The analysis of Revvity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Revvity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting revvity stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Revvity

The number of cover stories for Revvity depends on current market conditions and Revvity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Revvity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Revvity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Revvity Short Properties

Revvity's future price predictability will typically decrease when Revvity's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Revvity often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Revvity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Revvity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding122.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Additional Tools for Revvity Stock Analysis

When running Revvity's price analysis, check to measure Revvity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Revvity is operating at the current time. Most of Revvity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Revvity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Revvity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Revvity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.