RPM International Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| RPM Stock | USD 101.22 0.55 0.55% |
This Triple Exponential Smoothing reference page for RPM International presents model-generated forecast data based on historical daily prices. The output values and deviation metrics are provided for informational reference.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RPM International on the next trading day is expected to be 100.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 82.74.As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past RPM International observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older RPM International observations. All Triple Exponential Smoothing forecast figures shown for RPM International are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices. Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RPM International on the next trading day is expected to be 100.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40 , mean absolute percentage error of 3.33 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 82.74 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RPM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RPM International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest RPM International | RPM International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting RPM International for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. At the moment, the model places downside around 98.93 and upside around 102.17 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RPM International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RPM International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.068 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4024 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0128 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 82.7392 |
Other Forecasting Options for RPM International
Price movement is the most fundamental factor that determines whether RPM is a viable investment for any investor. RPM Stock price charts are often noisy, making it difficult to identify meaningful patterns without analytical tools.RPM International Related Equities
The following equities are related to RPM International within the Materials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing RPM International against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
RPM International Market Strength Events
Assessing the market strength of RPM International stock provides investors with a clearer picture of how the security reacts to evolving market dynamics. These indicators can be used to identify periods when trading RPM International is most likely to be profitable.
RPM International Risk Indicators
The analysis of RPM International's basic risk metrics provides a foundation for forecasting its future price and managing investment risk. Identifying the magnitude of risk in RPM International's helps investors choose between accepting or hedging their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Variance | 2.55 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for RPM International
Story coverage around RPM International often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
RPM International Short Properties
A short-interest review of RPM International helps investors understand whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 128.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 302.1 M |