ProShares Ultra Etf Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ROM Etf | USD 83.39 -1.29 -1.52% |
Momentum
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
The summary pairs ProShares Ultra's headline activity with price response context. This section summarizes ProShares Ultra's options flow and short interest as sentiment inputs.
ProShares Ultra Implied Volatility | 0.51 |
Changes in ProShares Ultra's implied volatility directly affect the price of all ProShares Ultra options regardless of the direction of the underlying stock. A volatility expansion benefits option holders; a contraction benefits sellers.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ProShares Ultra Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 83.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 122.95.ProShares Ultra after-hype prediction price | $ 83.39 |
This analysis adds an attention layer to forecasting, technical studies, analyst estimates, and earnings views.
ProShares | Build AI portfolio with ProShares Etf |
Rule 16 Summary for current ProShares contract
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 3.19% for the 2026-05-15 options. With ProShares Ultra trading near $ 83.39, that translates to about $ 2.66 per day in either direction.
Open Interest by Expiration: ProShares 2026-05-15
The open interest measure summarizes active contracts for ProShares Ultra and can be paired with trend context.
ProShares Ultra Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ProShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ProShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze ProShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of ProShares Ultra Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 83.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.08 , mean absolute percentage error of 7.47 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 122.95 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ProShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ProShares Ultra's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ProShares Ultra | ProShares Ultra Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for ProShares Ultra Technology uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ProShares Ultra etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ProShares Ultra etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4461 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1638 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.084 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0229 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 122.955 |
Investors who believe in mean reversion view ProShares Ultra's price extremes not as permanent states but as temporary dislocations that create opportunities for disciplined, contrarian capital allocation.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The shape of ProShares Ultra's price distribution after major news events tends to be skewed, with larger potential moves to the downside than to the upside for established companies like ProShares Ultra. This asymmetry is a key input for options pricing and risk management.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
By studying ProShares Ultra's historical news reactions, we generate empirical estimates of the price boundaries that follow significant headlines. ProShares Ultra's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 80.66 and 86.12, respectively. These estimates are most reliable when ProShares Ultra's news reaction patterns have been consistent over multiple events.
Current Value
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of ProShares Ultra Technology across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. ProShares Ultra is Very Low at this time.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as ProShares Ultra is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ProShares Ultra backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ProShares Ultra, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.73 | 0.39 | 0.04 | 2 Events | 5 Events | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
83.39 | 83.39 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2026 ProShares Ultra is traded for 83.39. The ETF has historical hype elasticity of 0.39, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. ProShares is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 91.3%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on ProShares Ultra is about 817.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 83.43. The ETF completed a 4-1 stock split on 18th of August 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of ProShares Ultra can be used to cross-verify projections for ProShares Ultra. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
News about regulatory changes, technological disruptions, or macroeconomic shifts can affect ProShares Ultra's entire competitive landscape simultaneously. Monitoring peer reactions to such events helps investors anticipate ProShares Ultra's likely response.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PSI | Invesco Dynamic Semiconductors | 0.45 | 5 per month | 2.34 | 0.1 | 4.24 | -4.30 | 12.12 | |
| IHAK | iShares Cybersecurity and | -0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 2.30 | -3.16 | 7.69 | |
| UYG | ProShares Ultra Financials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.11 | 3.26 | -4.10 | 10.89 | |
| TMSL | T Rowe Price | -0.17 | 4 per month | 1.16 | 0.04 | 1.50 | -1.82 | 6.83 | |
| TGRW | T Rowe Price | 1.17 | 2 per month | 0.00 | -0.12 | 1.30 | -1.95 | 4.37 | |
| SUSL | iShares ESG MSCI | -0.15 | 2 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.93 | -1.42 | 4.07 | |
| PEY | Invesco High Yield | 0.37 | 5 per month | 0.68 | 0.12 | 1.86 | -1.25 | 3.56 | |
| VMMSX | Vanguard Emerging Markets | 0.24 | 5 per month | 1.19 | 0.12 | 1.64 | -1.19 | 6.90 | |
| IWC | iShares Micro Cap ETF | 0.31 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1.69 | -2.36 | 6.97 | |
| CGCV | Capital Group Conservative | 1.17 | 5 per month | 0.68 | 0.07 | 0.83 | -1.06 | 2.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for ProShares Ultra
Investors at all stages of experience who consider ProShares must develop an understanding of ProShares Ultra's price dynamics. The noise embedded in ProShares Etf price charts can create misleading signals and skew investment decisions.ProShares Ultra Related Equities
The following equities are related to ProShares Ultra within the Trading--Leveraged Equity space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing ProShares Ultra against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ProShares Ultra Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to ProShares Ultra etf give investors a structured view of the security's momentum relative to the overall market. Using these indicators, traders can refine their timing when entering or exiting positions in ProShares Ultra Technology.
ProShares Ultra Risk Indicators
Evaluating ProShares Ultra's risk indicators is an important step in accurately forecasting its price and assessing the suitability of an investment. Understanding the risk profile of ProShares Ultra's allows investors to make more informed decisions about position sizing and risk.
| Mean Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.75 | |||
| Variance | 7.57 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ProShares Ultra
The amount of media and story coverage tied to ProShares Ultra Technology can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.
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More Resources for ProShares Etf Analysis
A comprehensive view of ProShares Ultra starts with financial statements and ratio context. Financial ratios provide a structured lens for assessing ProShares Ultra's profitability and growth trends. Below are reports that help frame ProShares Ultra Technology Etf in context:Historical Fundamental Analysis of ProShares Ultra can be used to cross-verify projections for ProShares Ultra. The view provides historical context for the projection set. ProShares Ultra currently shows P/E of 19.59. ProShares Ultra analysis should be paired with portfolio risk and diversification tools before adjusting allocations. The supplemental views below help investors decide how ProShares Ultra complements or overlaps with existing portfolio holdings. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Market capitalization and book value offer complementary views of ProShares Ultra - the first driven by investor sentiment, the second by accounting standards. The 4.06 P/B ratio shows ProShares Ultra carries a substantial premium over its balance-sheet equity. Value and price for ProShares Ultra are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.
It is useful to distinguish ProShares Ultra's value from its trading price, which are computed with different methods. For ProShares Ultra, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 19.59, and a P/B ratio of 4.06. ProShares Ultra's market quotation reflects the latest level where a willing buyer met a willing seller.