Construction Partners Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

ROAD Stock  USD 113.74  1.58  1.41%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Construction Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 112.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 147.58. Construction Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Construction Partners stock prices and determine the direction of Construction Partners's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Construction Partners' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Construction Partners' share price is approaching 30 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Construction Partners, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 30

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Construction Partners' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Construction Partners and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Construction Partners' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Construction Partners, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Construction Partners' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.809
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.384
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.84
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.615
Wall Street Target Price
128
Using Construction Partners hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Construction Partners from the perspective of Construction Partners response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Construction Partners using Construction Partners' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Construction using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Construction Partners' stock price.

Construction Partners Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Construction Partners' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Construction. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Construction Partners stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
105.4699
Short Percent
0.0751
Short Ratio
6.52
Shares Short Prior Month
3.4 M
50 Day MA
109.8064

Construction Partners Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Construction Partners' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Construction. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Construction can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Construction Partners. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Construction Partners' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Construction Partners.

Construction Partners Implied Volatility

    
  0.53  
Construction Partners' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Construction Partners stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Construction Partners' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Construction Partners stock will not fluctuate a lot when Construction Partners' options are near their expiration.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Construction Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 112.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 147.58.

Construction Partners after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 113.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Construction Partners to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Construction Stock refer to our How to Trade Construction Stock guide.At present, Construction Partners' Payables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 3.72, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 5.36. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 25.6 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 56.6 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Construction Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Construction Partners' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Construction Partners' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Construction Partners stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Construction Partners' open interest, investors have to compare it to Construction Partners' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Construction Partners is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Construction. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Construction Partners Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Construction price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Construction using various technical indicators. When you analyze Construction charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Construction Partners is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Construction Partners 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Construction Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 112.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.54, mean absolute percentage error of 9.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 147.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Construction Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Construction Partners' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Construction Partners Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Construction PartnersConstruction Partners Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Construction Partners Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Construction Partners' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Construction Partners' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 109.87 and 114.22, respectively. We have considered Construction Partners' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
113.74
109.87
Downside
112.05
Expected Value
114.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Construction Partners stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Construction Partners stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8252
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.4469
MADMean absolute deviation2.5444
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0231
SAESum of the absolute errors147.575
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Construction Partners. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Construction Partners and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Construction Partners

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Construction Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
111.67113.85116.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
102.37120.64122.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
107.14111.48115.83
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
116.48128.00142.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Construction Partners. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Construction Partners' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Construction Partners' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Construction Partners.

Other Forecasting Options for Construction Partners

For every potential investor in Construction, whether a beginner or expert, Construction Partners' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Construction Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Construction. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Construction Partners' price trends.

Construction Partners Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Construction Partners stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Construction Partners could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Construction Partners by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Construction Partners Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Construction Partners' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Construction Partners' current price.

Construction Partners Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Construction Partners stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Construction Partners shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Construction Partners stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Construction Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Construction Partners Risk Indicators

The analysis of Construction Partners' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Construction Partners' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting construction stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Construction Partners is a strong investment it is important to analyze Construction Partners' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Construction Partners' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Construction Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Construction Partners to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Construction Stock refer to our How to Trade Construction Stock guide.
You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Construction Partners. If investors know Construction will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Construction Partners listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.809
Earnings Share
1.84
Revenue Per Share
51.186
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.672
Return On Assets
0.0706
The market value of Construction Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Construction that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Construction Partners' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Construction Partners' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Construction Partners' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Construction Partners' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Construction Partners' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Construction Partners is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Construction Partners' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.