RCI Hospitality Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| RICK Stock | USD 21.71 -0.16 -0.73% |
RCI Hospitality Holdings's Simple Moving Average reference page covers the model's projected value and error measures from recent price data. The forecast output and associated deviation metrics are shown for informational use. The model is fitted to available historical daily prices for RCI Hospitality. This page is updated as new daily closing prices become available for RCI Hospitality.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of RCI Hospitality Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 21.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.47.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of RCI Hospitality Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of RCI Hospitality. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future All Simple Moving Average forecast figures shown for RCI Hospitality Holdings are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of RCI Hospitality Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 21.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.38 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.47 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RCI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RCI Hospitality's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest RCI Hospitality | RCI Hospitality Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for RCI Hospitality Holdings uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The current forecast range spans downside near 19.20 and upside near 24.22.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RCI Hospitality stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RCI Hospitality stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4782 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0351 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4825 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0207 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.47 |
Other Forecasting Options for RCI Hospitality
Bollinger Bands applied to RCI Stock price data measure how far RCI has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to RCI Hospitality's price data. On-balance volume for RCI Stock creates a running indicator of buying versus selling pressure in RCI. Price departures from the channel boundary often mean-revert, offering tactical signals for RCI Hospitality's.RCI Hospitality Related Equities
The stocks listed below are peers of RCI Hospitality within the Consumer Discretionary space and offer context for ranking and strength. Profit comparisons show whether RCI Hospitality earns above or below average returns next to its peers. Peer review is most useful when paired with absolute pricing and trend checks. This peer set gives the context needed for a well-rounded view of RCI Hospitality.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
RCI Hospitality Market Strength Events
For investors tracking RCI Hospitality Holdings, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. By using these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell RCI Hospitality Holdings. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in RCI Hospitality. These metrics provide actionable context for both entry and risk management decisions around RCI Hospitality Holdings.
RCI Hospitality Risk Indicators
Analyzing RCI Hospitality's basic risk indicators provides investors with a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for rci stock. By identifying the level of risk embedded in RCI Hospitality's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing. Analyzing RCI Hospitality's risk indicators gives investors important context for price forecasting. Understanding the risk in RCI Hospitality's investment allows investors to make informed choices about mitigating exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.52 | |||
| Variance | 6.33 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for RCI Hospitality
Story coverage around RCI Hospitality Holdings often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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RCI Hospitality Short Properties
A short-interest review of RCI Hospitality Holdings provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.7 M |