Regency Centers Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| REG Stock | USD 74.87 -1.82 -2.37% |
Regency Centers's Simple Regression reference data is generated by applying the model to available daily closing prices. Accuracy metrics including mean absolute deviation are provided alongside the projection.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Regency Centers on the next trading day is expected to be 79.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.24.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Regency Centers historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. Regency Centers's Simple Regression reference data is provided for informational and analytical purposes and does not constitute a trading recommendation. Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Regency Centers on the next trading day is expected to be 79.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22 , mean absolute percentage error of 2.20 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.24 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Regency Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Regency Centers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Regency Centers | Regency Centers Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Regency Centers' predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. At the moment, the model places downside around 78.25 and upside around 80.29 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Regency Centers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Regency Centers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.9008 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.217 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0164 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 74.2399 |
Other Forecasting Options for Regency Centers
Analyzing Regency Centers' price movement through moving averages at different time horizons reveals whether short-term momentum aligns with the longer-term trend. Touches of the upper or lower band in Regency Centers' chart can signal overbought or oversold conditions.Regency Centers Related Equities
These related stocks within the Real Estate space give benchmarks for judging Regency Centers' results, margins, and growth trend. Growth rate gaps between Regency Centers and its peers often explain pricing differences in the market. How Regency Centers ranks within this group can shift over time as the competitive picture changes.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Regency Centers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Regency Centers stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. These metrics are widely used to refine market timing and identify favorable moments to trade Regency Centers.
Regency Centers Risk Indicators
Assessing Regency Centers' risk indicators is a critical component of any rigorous approach to forecasting its future price. Forecasting Regency Centers' future price accurately requires understanding and quantifying the risks present in the investment.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8016 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.827 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Variance | 1.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.684 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.87 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Regency Centers
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Regency Centers can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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Regency Centers Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Regency Centers matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 182.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 120.7 M |