RedCloud Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| RCT Stock | 1.31 0.04 2.96% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of RedCloud Holdings plc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.29. RedCloud Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of relative strength index of RedCloud Holdings' share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.232 |
Using RedCloud Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RedCloud Holdings plc from the perspective of RedCloud Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of RedCloud Holdings plc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.29. RedCloud Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 1.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RedCloud Holdings to cross-verify your projections. RedCloud Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RedCloud price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RedCloud using various technical indicators. When you analyze RedCloud charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
RedCloud Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of RedCloud Holdings plc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RedCloud Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RedCloud Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
RedCloud Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest RedCloud Holdings | RedCloud Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
RedCloud Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting RedCloud Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RedCloud Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.64, respectively. We have considered RedCloud Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RedCloud Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RedCloud Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8043 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0868 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0538 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.2931 |
Predictive Modules for RedCloud Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RedCloud Holdings plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of RedCloud Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
RedCloud Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RedCloud Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RedCloud Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RedCloud Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RedCloud Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RedCloud Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RedCloud Holdings' historical news coverage. RedCloud Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 6.68, respectively. We have considered RedCloud Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RedCloud Holdings is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RedCloud Holdings plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
RedCloud Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RedCloud Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RedCloud Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RedCloud Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 5.34 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.31 | 1.31 | 0.00 |
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RedCloud Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January RedCloud Holdings plc is traded for 1.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. RedCloud is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on RedCloud Holdings is about 38142.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.31. About 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.15. RedCloud Holdings plc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RedCloud Holdings to cross-verify your projections.RedCloud Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RedCloud Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RedCloud Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how RedCloud Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RedCloud Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PSQH | PSQ Holdings | 0.11 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 6.67 | (7.80) | 19.40 | |
| QH | Quhuo | (0.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 25.50 | (14.29) | 109.99 | |
| API | Agora Inc | 0.03 | 12 per month | 1.91 | 0.12 | 4.88 | (3.13) | 12.89 | |
| IDN | Intellicheck Mobilisa | 0.13 | 9 per month | 2.94 | 0.08 | 6.99 | (5.34) | 47.19 | |
| SAIH | SAIHEAT Limited | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.21 | (9.48) | 51.10 | |
| SOGP | Lizhi Inc | 0.67 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.82 | (10.01) | 37.07 | |
| CMTL | Comtech Telecommunications Corp | (0.39) | 1 per month | 3.71 | 0.20 | 8.77 | (6.39) | 23.03 | |
| ATHR | Aether Holdings | (0.33) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.12 | (5.81) | 18.55 | |
| GCTS | GCT Semiconductor Holding | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 6.62 | (6.78) | 23.52 | |
| UPLD | Upland Software | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 5.23 | (5.42) | 11.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for RedCloud Holdings
For every potential investor in RedCloud, whether a beginner or expert, RedCloud Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RedCloud Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RedCloud. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RedCloud Holdings' price trends.RedCloud Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RedCloud Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RedCloud Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RedCloud Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
RedCloud Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RedCloud Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RedCloud Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RedCloud Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RedCloud Holdings plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.31 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.31 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) |
RedCloud Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of RedCloud Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RedCloud Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting redcloud stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.56 | |||
| Variance | 30.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for RedCloud Holdings
The number of cover stories for RedCloud Holdings depends on current market conditions and RedCloud Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RedCloud Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RedCloud Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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RedCloud Holdings Short Properties
RedCloud Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when RedCloud Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RedCloud Holdings plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RedCloud Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RedCloud Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 800.7 K |
Additional Tools for RedCloud Stock Analysis
When running RedCloud Holdings' price analysis, check to measure RedCloud Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy RedCloud Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of RedCloud Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of RedCloud Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move RedCloud Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of RedCloud Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.