MULTI-ASSET GROWTH Mutual Fund Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| RAZCX Fund | USD 11.45 -0.15 -1.29% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecast reference data for Multi Asset Growth Strategy is based on the equity's recent trading history. This page summarizes the model output and key accuracy metrics for reference.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Multi Asset Growth Strategy on the next trading day is expected to be 11.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.60.As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past MULTI-ASSET GROWTH observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Multi Asset Growth Strategy observations. All Triple Exponential Smoothing forecast figures shown for Multi Asset Growth Strategy are reference data reflecting model output based on available historical prices. Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Multi Asset Growth Strategy on the next trading day is expected to be 11.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0035 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.60 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MULTI-ASSET Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MULTI-ASSET GROWTH's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MULTI-ASSET GROWTH | MULTI-ASSET GROWTH Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Multi Asset Growth Strategy focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. At the moment, the model places downside around 10.92 and upside around 11.91 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MULTI-ASSET GROWTH mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MULTI-ASSET GROWTH mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0112 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0441 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0037 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.6015 |
Other Forecasting Options for MULTI-ASSET GROWTH
Whether a novice or experienced investor, anyone considering MULTI-ASSET needs to understand the dynamics of MULTI-ASSET GROWTH's price movement. Price charts for MULTI-ASSET Mutual Fund contain a significant amount of noise that can distort investment decisions.MULTI-ASSET GROWTH Related Equities
The following equities are related to MULTI-ASSET GROWTH within the World Allocation space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing MULTI-ASSET GROWTH against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MULTI-ASSET GROWTH Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for MULTI-ASSET GROWTH enables investors to understand how the mutual fund performs relative to overall market momentum. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in Multi Asset Growth Strategy.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.45 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.45 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.07 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.15 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 35.01 |
MULTI-ASSET GROWTH Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing MULTI-ASSET GROWTH's key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process quantifies the risk associated with MULTI-ASSET GROWTH's and decide how to manage it.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3786 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5536 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5085 | |||
| Variance | 0.2585 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4124 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3065 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.37 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MULTI-ASSET GROWTH
Coverage intensity for Multi Asset Growth Strategy matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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