Qliro AB Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression

QLIRO Stock  SEK 20.30  -0.40  -1.93%   
At the latest evaluation, momentum metrics show RSI of 60 for Qliro AB, indicating sustained upward pressure. This range suggests continued bullish bias without reaching extreme statistical levels.
Momentum
Buy Extended
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
News-driven analysis for Qliro AB seeks to separate meaningful signals from market noise. By filtering relevant headlines and sentiment trends, this module identifies potential catalysts that may move Qliro AB's price.
The hype-based summary links Qliro AB attention patterns with price response and peers.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Qliro AB on the next trading day is expected to be 20.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.64.
Qliro AB after-hype prediction price
    
  kr 20.3  
Attention metrics here are presented with forecasting, technical, analyst, and earnings context.
  
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Qliro AB provides a cross-check on projections for Qliro AB. The view provides historical context for the projection set.

Qliro AB Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Qliro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Qliro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Qliro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Qliro AB polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Qliro AB as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Qliro AB Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of March 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Qliro AB on the next trading day is expected to be 20.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.26 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.64 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Qliro Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Qliro AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Qliro AB Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Qliro AB  Qliro AB Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Qliro AB Forecasted Value

This next-day forecast for Qliro AB uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Market Value
20.30
20.33
Expected Value
22.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Qliro AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Qliro AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5982
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3651
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0194
SAESum of the absolute errors22.6368
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Qliro AB historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm
Mean reversion in Qliro AB is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2420.3022.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.9817.0422.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.8319.4621.10
Details
Effective investment decisions about Qliro AB require competitive context. Benchmarking Qliro AB's against peers on earnings quality, growth consistency, and balance sheet strength can materially change the investment conclusion.

Qliro AB After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Investors who rely solely on expected value estimates for Qliro AB miss the full picture. Qliro AB's probability distribution reveals that expected value can be achieved through very different combinations of outcomes, each with different risk implications.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Qliro AB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

The after-news price analysis for Qliro AB is built on the observation that Qliro AB's market reactions to news are not random but follow recognizable patterns. Qliro AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.24 and 22.36, respectively. Identifying and quantifying these patterns for Qliro AB is the core purpose of this model.
Current Value
20.30
20.30
After-hype Price
22.36
Upside
The after-hype framework applied to Qliro AB assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.

Qliro AB Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Qliro AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Qliro AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Qliro AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
2.06
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events
0 Events
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.30
20.30
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Qliro AB Hype Timeline

Qliro AB is at this time traded for 20.30on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Qliro is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Qliro AB is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.30. About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.5. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Qliro AB recorded a loss per share of 2.37. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Qliro AB provides a cross-check on projections for Qliro AB. The view provides historical context for the projection set.

Qliro AB Related Hype Analysis

The information ratio and semi-deviation metrics in the peer comparison table for Qliro AB provide a risk-adjusted view of how efficiently Qliro AB's competitors convert news exposure into returns relative to downside risk.

Other Forecasting Options for Qliro AB

For investors considering Qliro, Qliro AB's price movement is the most direct driver of investment returns. Noise in Qliro Stock price charts can make identifying meaningful trends difficult without dedicated analytical tools.

Qliro AB Related Equities

The following equities are related to Qliro AB within the Credit Services space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Qliro AB against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Qliro AB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for Qliro AB provide investors with a view of how the stock performs across different market environments. By analyzing these indicators, traders can determine the best moments to enter or exit positions in Qliro AB.

Qliro AB Risk Indicators

A structured analysis of Qliro AB's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve the accuracy of price forecasts. Understanding the risk embedded in Qliro AB's allows investors to decide whether to accept, reduce, or hedge their exposure.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Qliro AB

Coverage intensity for Qliro AB matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Story coverage on Macroaxis is built for readers who approach markets from different levels of experience but share the same need for disciplined investment context. Used well, these stories become part of a broader workflow built around idea generation, validation, and risk-adjusted portfolio design.

Qliro AB Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to Qliro AB matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18 M
Cash And Short Term Investments354 M

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