360 Finance Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| QFIN Stock | USD 13.52 0.23 1.73% |
The Simple Moving Average forecast shown here for 360 Finance is reference data produced from its historical price series. The projected value and error measures below serve as reference information. This data is provided for reference and analytical review. The Simple Moving Average output serves as one input among many for analytical review.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of 360 Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 13.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.11.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of 360 Finance price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of 360 Finance. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future This Simple Moving Average reference page for 360 Finance presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of 360 Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 13.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.17 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.11 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 360 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 360 Finance's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest 360 Finance | 360 Finance Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting 360 Finance for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 11.05 on the downside to about 15.99 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 360 Finance stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 360 Finance stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4759 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1564 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3352 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0213 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.115 |
Other Forecasting Options for 360 Finance
The distribution of 360 Finance's daily returns is typically non-normal, with fatter tails than a Gaussian model predicts. This can reveal hidden support and resistance zones in 360 Finance's chart that simple price charts miss. The slope of 360 Finance's linear regression channel quantifies trend direction and strength over a chosen lookback period. Divergences between OBV and price can foreshadow trend changes in 360.360 Finance Related Equities
These firms work in a similar space as 360 Finance within the Financials space and serve as useful points for comparison. Looking at 360 Finance's pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
360 Finance Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for 360 Finance give insight into the stock's responsiveness to broader forces. These indicators are useful for traders seeking optimal timing for positions in 360 Finance. Market strength analysis for 360 Finance works best when combined with volume and volatility data. For 360 Finance, strength indicators are a practical complement to price and fundamental analysis.
360 Finance Risk Indicators
A thorough review of 360 Finance's risk indicators is an important first step in forecasting its price. Quantifying the risk involved in 360 Finance's allows investors to make better decisions about entry, sizing, and hedging. The assessment of 360 Finance's risk indicators plays a key role in managing investment exposure. Identifying the magnitude of risk in 360 Finance's provides context to choose between accepting or hedging exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.41 | |||
| Variance | 5.78 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for 360 Finance
The amount of media and story coverage tied to 360 Finance can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
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360 Finance Short Properties
Short-interest signals around 360 Finance can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 68 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.4 B |