Jasa Marga Pink Sheet Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| PTJSY Stock | USD 3.63 -0.93 -20.39% |
News-driven analysis for Jasa Marga seeks to separate meaningful signals from market noise. By filtering relevant headlines and sentiment trends, this module identifies potential catalysts that may move Jasa Marga's price.
At the latest evaluation, Jasa Marga reflects the momentum strength indicator of 0, indicating compressed downside momentum. Readings below 20 are commonly associated with potential stabilization zones.Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
The hype-based summary links Jasa Marga Persero attention patterns with price response and peers.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jasa Marga Persero on the next trading day is expected to be 3.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.11.Jasa Marga after-hype prediction price | $ 3.63 |
Attention metrics here are presented with forecasting, technical, analyst, and earnings context.
Jasa |
Jasa Marga Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jasa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jasa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jasa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jasa Marga Persero on the next trading day is expected to be 3.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.04 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.11 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jasa Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jasa Marga's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Jasa Marga | Jasa Marga Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Jasa Marga Persero uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jasa Marga pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jasa Marga pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0358 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0358 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0087 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.11 |
Mean reversion in Jasa Marga is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Investors who rely solely on expected value estimates for Jasa Marga miss the full picture. Jasa Marga's probability distribution reveals that expected value can be achieved through very different combinations of outcomes, each with different risk implications.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The after-news price analysis for Jasa Marga is built on the observation that Jasa Marga's market reactions to news are not random but follow recognizable patterns. Jasa Marga's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 7.22, respectively. Identifying and quantifying these patterns for Jasa Marga is the core purpose of this model.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Jasa Marga Persero assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jasa Marga is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jasa Marga backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jasa Marga, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.64 | 3.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events | 0 Events | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.63 | 3.63 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
Jasa Marga Persero is at this time traded for 3.63. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Jasa is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.64%. %. The volatility of related hype on Jasa Marga is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.63. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.14. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Jasa Marga Persero last dividend was issued on the 19th of June 2020. Assuming a 90-day horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jasa Marga provides a cross-check on projections for Jasa Marga. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
The information ratio and semi-deviation metrics in the peer comparison table for Jasa Marga provide a risk-adjusted view of how efficiently Jasa Marga's competitors convert news exposure into returns relative to downside risk.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HAZAF | HAZAMA ANDO Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KLRGF | Keller Group Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.86 | -2.02 | 14.15 | |
| KIERF | Kier Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BIRDF | Bird Construction | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.22 | 3.87 | -2.76 | 7.79 | |
| AEGXF | Aecon Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.46 | 0.22 | 3.90 | -3.39 | 13.95 | |
| KRRYF | Kerry Logistics Network | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 11.34 | -10.00 | 60.19 | |
| CKOCF | Chudenko | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GRGCF | Georgia Capital PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.21 | 3.38 | 0.00 | 10.22 | |
| BRRAF | Barloworld | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BTGRF | BTS Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.79 |
Other Forecasting Options for Jasa Marga
For investors considering Jasa, Jasa Marga's price movement is the most direct driver of investment returns. Noise in Jasa Pink Sheet price charts can make identifying meaningful trends difficult without dedicated analytical tools.Jasa Marga Related Equities
The following equities are related to Jasa Marga within the Engineering & Construction space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Jasa Marga against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Jasa Marga Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Jasa Marga provide investors with a view of how the pink sheet performs across different market environments. By analyzing these indicators, traders can determine the best moments to enter or exit positions in Jasa Marga Persero.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.8 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.63 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.63 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.46 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.93 |
Jasa Marga Risk Indicators
A structured analysis of Jasa Marga's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve the accuracy of price forecasts. Understanding the risk embedded in Jasa Marga's allows investors to decide whether to accept, reduce, or hedge their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.54 | |||
| Variance | 12.51 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Jasa Marga
Coverage intensity for Jasa Marga Persero matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Story coverage on Macroaxis is built for readers who approach markets from different levels of experience but share the same need for disciplined investment context. Used well, these stories become part of a broader workflow built around idea generation, validation, and risk-adjusted portfolio design.
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Other Information on Investing in Jasa Pink Sheet
Jasa Marga financial ratios provide valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Jasa to other measures in a consistent way.