Pintec Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

PTDelisted Stock  USD 1.22  0.25  25.77%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Pintec Technology Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.52. Pintec Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Pintec Technology's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pintec Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pintec Technology Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Pintec Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pintec Technology Holdings from the perspective of Pintec Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Pintec Technology Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.52.

Pintec Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pintec Technology to cross-verify your projections.

Pintec Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pintec price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pintec using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pintec charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Pintec Technology price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Pintec Technology Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Pintec Technology Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pintec Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pintec Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pintec Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pintec TechnologyPintec Technology Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Pintec Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pintec Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pintec Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.53, respectively. We have considered Pintec Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.22
1.01
Expected Value
5.53
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pintec Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pintec Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.3571
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0414
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0408
SAESum of the absolute errors2.5229
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Pintec Technology Holdings historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Pintec Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pintec Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pintec Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.245.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.985.49
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Pintec Technology

For every potential investor in Pintec, whether a beginner or expert, Pintec Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pintec Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pintec. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pintec Technology's price trends.

Pintec Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pintec Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pintec Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pintec Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pintec Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pintec Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pintec Technology's current price.

Pintec Technology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pintec Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pintec Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pintec Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pintec Technology Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pintec Technology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pintec Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pintec Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pintec stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pintec Technology to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Other Consideration for investing in Pintec Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Pintec Technology check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Pintec Technology's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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