VIRTUS SENIOR Mutual Fund Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| PSFIX Fund | USD 8.42 0.01 0.12% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecast shown here for VIRTUS SENIOR is reference data produced from the equity's historical price series. Accuracy metrics including mean absolute deviation are provided alongside the projection.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Virtus Senior Floating on the next trading day is expected to be 8.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.45.When Virtus Senior Floating prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Virtus Senior Floating trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent VIRTUS SENIOR observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. This Double Exponential Smoothing reference page for VIRTUS SENIOR presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes. Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Virtus Senior Floating on the next trading day is expected to be 8.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.45 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VIRTUS Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VIRTUS SENIOR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
Forecasting Virtus Senior Floating for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 8.26 on the downside to about 8.58 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VIRTUS SENIOR mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VIRTUS SENIOR mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -5.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0076 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.45 |
Other Forecasting Options for VIRTUS SENIOR
Regardless of investment experience, understanding VIRTUS SENIOR's price movement is essential for anyone considering a position in VIRTUS. Price charts for VIRTUS Mutual Fund are often filled with noise that can lead to poor investment choices if not properly filtered.VIRTUS SENIOR Related Equities
The following equities are related to VIRTUS SENIOR within the Bank Loan space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing VIRTUS SENIOR against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VIRTUS SENIOR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for VIRTUS SENIOR give investors insight into the mutual fund's responsiveness to broader market forces. Tracking these indicators helps investors make informed timing decisions and identify periods where trading VIRTUS SENIOR is likely to be most rewarding.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.42 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.42 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 54.67 |
VIRTUS SENIOR Risk Indicators
A thorough review of VIRTUS SENIOR's risk indicators is an important first step in forecasting its price and managing investment exposure. This analysis helps investors determine the appropriate level of risk to accept when holding VIRTUS SENIOR's.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0917 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.0534 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1576 | |||
| Variance | 0.0248 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0292 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0029 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.26 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VIRTUS SENIOR
Coverage intensity for Virtus Senior Floating matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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