Prosus NV Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| PRX Stock | EUR 46.57 -0.05 -0.11% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.95 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.2674 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.8691 | Wall Street Target Price 68.0188 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.223 |
The hype-based view summarizes Prosus NV's price response to recent headlines and peer coverage.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Prosus NV on the next trading day is expected to be 46.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.47.Prosus NV after-hype prediction price | € 46.57 |
The sentiment summary complements forecasting and technical views with analyst estimates and earnings data.
Prosus |
Prosus NV Additional Predictive Modules
Predictive models for Prosus NV combine technical indicators with statistical methods to estimate probable price trajectories. No prediction model eliminates uncertainty; the goal is to identify scenarios with favorable risk-adjusted probabilities.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Prosus NV on the next trading day is expected to be 46.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.93 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.47 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Prosus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Prosus NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Prosus NV | Prosus NV Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Prosus NV uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. At the moment, the model places downside around 44.87 and upside around 48.92 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Prosus NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Prosus NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0632 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7244 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0151 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 43.4651 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Prosus NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Prosus NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Prosus NV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Prosus NV's historical news coverage.
Current Value
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of Prosus NV across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. The practical value is that it frames how far price could retrace or stabilize once the headline cycle loses intensity.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Prosus NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Prosus NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Prosus NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.03 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 2 Events | 1 Events | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
46.57 | 46.57 | 0.00 |
|
Hype Timeline
Prosus NV is at this time traded for 46.57on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Prosus is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Prosus NV is about 1845.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.59. About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Prosus NV was at this time reported as 21.64. The company recorded earnings per share (EPS) of 5.01. Prosus NV had its last dividend issued on the 31st of October 2025. The company completed a 2.1796:1 stock split on 14th of September 2023. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prosus NV to cross-verify projections for Prosus NV. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Prosus NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Prosus NV's future price movements. Getting to know how Prosus NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| REN | Relx PLC | -0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 4.11 | -3.45 | 18.62 | |
| UMG | Universal Music Group | 0.55 | 2 per month | 0.00 | -0.13 | 2.12 | -3.01 | 12.48 | |
| KPN | Koninklijke KPN NV | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.55 | 0.30 | 2.56 | -1.68 | 6.39 | |
| HAVAS | HAVAS SA | 0.33 | 2 per month | 2.61 | 0.04 | 3.84 | -3.58 | 19.28 | |
| BNJ | Banijay Group NV | -0.15 | 8 per month | 1.44 | 0.02 | 3.05 | -2.87 | 9.72 | |
| AJAX | AFC Ajax NV | -0.02 | 1 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 2.35 | -1.55 | 9.13 |
Other Forecasting Options for Prosus NV
For every potential investor in Prosus, whether a beginner or expert, Prosus NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Prosus NV Related Equities
The following equities are related to Prosus NV within the Communication Services space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Prosus NV against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Prosus NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Prosus NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Prosus NV shares will generate the highest return on.
| Accumulation Distribution | 67717.63 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.04 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 46.58 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 46.58 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.04 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.05 |
Prosus NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of Prosus NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Prosus NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Variance | 3.93 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Prosus NV
A coverage review of Prosus NV helps investors see when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. A disciplined read of coverage helps investors separate durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Prosus NV Short Properties
A short-interest review of Prosus NV helps investors understand whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.9 B |
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