T ROWE Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Regression
| PRNHX Fund | USD 51.25 -0.61 -1.18% |
T Rowe Price's Simple Regression reference page covers the model's projected value and error measures derived from recent price data. This information is intended as reference material for analytical purposes.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of T Rowe Price on the next trading day is expected to be 53.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.97.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as T Rowe Price historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. The forecast reference data presented here for T Rowe Price reflects Simple Regression model output and is intended as reference material for analytical use. Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of T Rowe Price on the next trading day is expected to be 53.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.25 , mean absolute percentage error of 2.05 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 75.97 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PRNHX Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that T ROWE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest T ROWE | T ROWE Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting T Rowe Price for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The current forecast range spans downside near 52.55 and upside near 55.09.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of T ROWE mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent T ROWE mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.8273 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2454 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0232 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 75.9716 |
Other Forecasting Options for T ROWE
Investors evaluating PRNHX at any level of experience must contend with the challenge of understanding T ROWE's price movement. The presence of noise in PRNHX Mutual Fund price charts can significantly complicate investment decisions.T ROWE Related Equities
The following equities are related to T ROWE within the Mid-Cap Growth space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing T ROWE against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
T ROWE Market Strength Events
For investors tracking T Rowe Price, market strength indicators offer a quantitative way to evaluate how the mutual fund behaves under varying market conditions. These metrics are widely used to refine market timing and identify the most favorable moments to trade T ROWE.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 51.25 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 51.25 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.30 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.61 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 42.57 |
T ROWE Risk Indicators
Analyzing T ROWE's basic risk indicators provides investors with a structured view of the risk-return trade-off associated with prnhx mutual fund. Forecasting T ROWE's future price accurately requires understanding and quantifying the risks present in the investment.
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.87 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for T ROWE
Coverage intensity for T Rowe Price matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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