Progress Software Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

PRGS Stock  USD 42.43  0.32  0.75%   
Progress Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Progress Software's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Progress Software's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Progress Software and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Progress Software's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Progress Software, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Progress Software's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
21.357
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.8755
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.9576
Wall Street Target Price
65.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.3126
Using Progress Software hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Progress Software from the perspective of Progress Software response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Progress Software using Progress Software's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Progress using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Progress Software's stock price.

Progress Software Short Interest

An investor who is long Progress Software may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Progress Software and may potentially protect profits, hedge Progress Software with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
49.3778
Short Percent
0.1612
Short Ratio
9.51
Shares Short Prior Month
4.6 M
50 Day MA
42.327

Progress Software Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Progress Software's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Progress. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Progress can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Progress Software. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Progress Software Implied Volatility

    
  0.56  
Progress Software's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Progress Software stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Progress Software's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Progress Software stock will not fluctuate a lot when Progress Software's options are near their expiration.

Progress Software after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 42.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Progress Software to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Progress Stock please use our How to Invest in Progress Software guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Progress contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Progress Software will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.035% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Progress Software trading at USD 42.43, that is roughly USD 0.0149 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Progress Software's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Progress Software options at the current volatility level of 0.56%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Progress Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Progress Software's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Progress Software's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Progress Software stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Progress Software's open interest, investors have to compare it to Progress Software's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Progress Software is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Progress. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Progress Software Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Progress price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Progress using various technical indicators. When you analyze Progress charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Progress Software has current Accumulation Distribution of 24093.5. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Progress Software is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Progress Software to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Progress Software trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Progress Software VolatilityBacktest Progress SoftwareInformation Ratio  

Progress Software Trading Date Momentum

On January 23 2026 Progress Software was traded for  42.43  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 43.43  and the lowest listed price was  42.35 . The trading volume for the day was 968.9 K. The trading history from January 23, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 0.75% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Progress Software to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Progress Software

For every potential investor in Progress, whether a beginner or expert, Progress Software's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Progress Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Progress. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Progress Software's price trends.

Progress Software Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Progress Software stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Progress Software could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Progress Software by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Progress Software Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Progress Software stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Progress Software shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Progress Software stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Progress Software entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Progress Software Risk Indicators

The analysis of Progress Software's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Progress Software's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting progress stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Progress Software

The number of cover stories for Progress Software depends on current market conditions and Progress Software's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Progress Software is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Progress Software's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Progress Software Short Properties

Progress Software's future price predictability will typically decrease when Progress Software's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Progress Software often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Progress Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Progress Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44 M
Cash And Short Term Investments94.8 M

Additional Tools for Progress Stock Analysis

When running Progress Software's price analysis, check to measure Progress Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Progress Software is operating at the current time. Most of Progress Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Progress Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Progress Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Progress Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.