Permian Resources Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| PR Stock | USD 19.19 0.34 1.80% |
Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.516 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2679 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.1105 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.4339 | Wall Street Target Price 20.775 |
This view relates Permian Resources' headline activity to recent price response context. Options and short interest provide context for sentiment around Permian Resources in this section.
Short Interest Tracking - Permian Resources
Permian Resources short interest relative to sector peers provides additional context. If Permian Resources' short interest is significantly higher than competitors. the market may perceive company-specific risks that warrant investigation.
200 Day MA 14.1542 | Short Percent 0.0374 | Short Ratio 2.28 | Shares Short Prior Month 28.4 M | 50 Day MA 15.9118 |
RSI Oscillator - Permian
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Permian Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 19.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.46.Attention-to-Price Pattern - Permian Resources
The relationship between Permian Resources' news sentiment and price action reveals how efficiently the market processes new information about Permian. Persistent sentiment-price gaps create exploitable opportunities for disciplined investors.
Investors who systematically buy Permian Resources when sentiment is deeply negative and sell when it is excessively positive have historically captured mean-reversion returns not available to purely fundamental or technical investors.
Permian Resources Implied Volatility | 1.14 |
Implied volatility in Permian Resources' options does not predict direction - it measures magnitude. An investor expecting a large move in Permian Resources stock in either direction may benefit from strategies that profit from volatility expansion.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Permian Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 19.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.46.Permian Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 18.85 |
The sentiment view is a companion to forecasting, technical studies, analyst estimates, and earnings trends.
Cross-verify projections for Permian Resources using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Permian Resources. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Rule 16 Reference for the current Permian contract - Performance Context
Based on Rule 16, the market-implied daily move for 2026-03-20 options is about 0.0712%. This context is informational: with Permian Resources near USD 19.19, the daily move estimate is USD 0.0137 .
Open Interest Map for Permian Options 2026-03-20
The open interest measure summarizes active contracts for Permian Resources and can be paired with trend context.
Permian Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Permian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Permian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Permian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Permian Resources Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Permian Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 19.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.11 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.46 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Permian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Permian Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Permian Resources Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Permian Resources | Permian Resources Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Permian Resources Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Permian Resources uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Permian Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Permian Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.1921 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1093 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.279 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0178 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.46 |
Experienced Permian Resources' investors use mean reversion as a complement to momentum analysis: momentum identifies the trend; mean reversion identifies when that trend has extended beyond sustainable levels.
Permian Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
This probability distribution for Permian Resources is built from Monte Carlo simulations that incorporate Permian Resources' historical volatility, mean reversion tendencies, and jump risk. The resulting distribution captures a broader range of Permian Resources outcomes than simple linear.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Permian Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The boundaries derived from Permian Resources' historical news analysis represent the range within which Permian Resources's price has typically settled after comparable headline events. Permian Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.83 and 20.87, respectively. Outcomes outside these boundaries are less common but not rare for Permian Resources.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Permian Resources assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Permian Resources Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Permian Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Permian Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Permian Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.02 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 4 Events | 7 Events | In 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.19 | 18.85 | 0.00 |
|
Permian Resources Hype Timeline
As of March 9, 2026 Permian Resources is listed for 19.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Permian is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on Permian Resources is about 5315.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.21. About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.49. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Permian Resources last dividend was issued on the 17th of March 2026. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in 4 days. Cross-verify projections for Permian Resources using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Permian Resources. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Permian Resources Related Hype Analysis
Understanding Permian Resources' position within its competitive set helps investors assess whether news affecting a peer is a headwind or tailwind for Permian Resources. This distinction requires knowledge of the competitive dynamics specific to Permian Resources' industry.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RRC | Range Resources Corp | 0.04 | 10 per month | 2.25 | 0.05 | 3.81 | -3.01 | 11.21 | |
| APA | APA Corporation | 1.50 | 11 per month | 2.11 | 0.16 | 4.65 | -3.50 | 13.20 | |
| OVV | Ovintiv | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.86 | 0.17 | 4.13 | -3.83 | 8.54 | |
| AR | Antero Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.53 | 0.03 | 3.49 | -3.89 | 11.78 | |
| AM | Antero Midstream Partners | -0.08 | 9 per month | 0.90 | 0.30 | 2.51 | -2.01 | 5.56 | |
| HESM | Hess Midstream Partners | 0.17 | 7 per month | 0.69 | 0.24 | 2.29 | -1.59 | 5.02 | |
| VIST | Vista Oil Gas | -0.23 | 8 per month | 2.38 | 0.15 | 6.03 | -4.38 | 13.64 | |
| MTDR | Matador Resources | -0.99 | 12 per month | 1.93 | 0.17 | 4.93 | -3.47 | 9.76 | |
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corp | -0.15 | 8 per month | 2.32 | 0.05 | 5.01 | -2.54 | 16.20 | |
| NFG | National Fuel Gas | 0.12 | 8 per month | 0.80 | 0.18 | 2.02 | -1.42 | 5.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for Permian Resources
Understanding Permian Resources' price movement is a prerequisite for any investor considering Permian as a position. Permian Stock price charts are frequently cluttered with noise that can interfere with accurate interpretation.Permian Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Permian Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Permian Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Permian Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Permian Resources Market Strength Events
For traders and investors in Permian Resources, market strength indicators offer a quantitative framework for evaluating the stock's responsiveness to market conditions. These tools help identify when trading Permian Resources shares is most likely to generate favorable returns.
Permian Resources Risk Indicators
Analyzing Permian Resources' risk indicators provides a critical input for price forecasting and investment risk management. By quantifying the risk in Permian Resources' investment, investors can make more informed decisions about their exposure and hedging strategies.
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Variance | 3.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.3 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.86 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Permian Resources
Coverage intensity for Permian Resources matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Permian Resources Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Permian Resources matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 731 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 153.7 M |
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