BV Delftsch Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

PORF Stock  EUR 12.00  0.50  4.35%   
PORF Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of BV Delftsch's share price is at 51 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BV Delftsch, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of BV Delftsch's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of BV Delftsch and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from BV Delftsch's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BV Delftsch Aardewerkfabriek, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting BV Delftsch's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
40
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.201
Using BV Delftsch hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BV Delftsch Aardewerkfabriek from the perspective of BV Delftsch response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of BV Delftsch Aardewerkfabriek on the next trading day is expected to be 12.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.18.

BV Delftsch after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 12.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BV Delftsch to cross-verify your projections.

BV Delftsch Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PORF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PORF using various technical indicators. When you analyze PORF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through BV Delftsch price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

BV Delftsch Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of BV Delftsch Aardewerkfabriek on the next trading day is expected to be 12.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PORF Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BV Delftsch's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BV Delftsch Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest BV Delftsch  BV Delftsch Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

BV Delftsch Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BV Delftsch's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BV Delftsch's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.37 and 14.77, respectively. We have considered BV Delftsch's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.00
12.07
Expected Value
14.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BV Delftsch stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BV Delftsch stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7719
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2771
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0233
SAESum of the absolute errors17.1827
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as BV Delftsch Aardewerkfabriek historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for BV Delftsch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BV Delftsch Aardewer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.3212.0014.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.3610.0412.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.3411.8812.43
Details

BV Delftsch After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BV Delftsch at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BV Delftsch or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BV Delftsch, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BV Delftsch Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BV Delftsch's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BV Delftsch's historical news coverage. BV Delftsch's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.32 and 14.68, respectively. We have considered BV Delftsch's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.00
12.00
After-hype Price
14.68
Upside
BV Delftsch is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BV Delftsch Aardewer is based on 3 months time horizon.

BV Delftsch Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BV Delftsch is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BV Delftsch backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BV Delftsch, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
2.70
 0.00  
  0.03 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.00
12.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

BV Delftsch Hype Timeline

BV Delftsch Aardewer is at this time traded for 12.00on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. PORF is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on BV Delftsch is about 502.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.03. About 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.68. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. BV Delftsch Aardewer last dividend was issued on the 15th of May 2025. The entity had 24.28:23.28 split on the 16th of May 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BV Delftsch to cross-verify your projections.

BV Delftsch Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BV Delftsch's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BV Delftsch's future price movements. Getting to know how BV Delftsch's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BV Delftsch may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for BV Delftsch

For every potential investor in PORF, whether a beginner or expert, BV Delftsch's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PORF Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PORF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BV Delftsch's price trends.

BV Delftsch Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BV Delftsch stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BV Delftsch could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BV Delftsch by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BV Delftsch Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BV Delftsch stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BV Delftsch shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BV Delftsch stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BV Delftsch Aardewerkfabriek entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BV Delftsch Risk Indicators

The analysis of BV Delftsch's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BV Delftsch's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting porf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for BV Delftsch

The number of cover stories for BV Delftsch depends on current market conditions and BV Delftsch's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BV Delftsch is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BV Delftsch's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

BV Delftsch Short Properties

BV Delftsch's future price predictability will typically decrease when BV Delftsch's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BV Delftsch Aardewerkfabriek often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BV Delftsch's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BV Delftsch's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding993.4 K
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 M

Additional Tools for PORF Stock Analysis

When running BV Delftsch's price analysis, check to measure BV Delftsch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BV Delftsch is operating at the current time. Most of BV Delftsch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BV Delftsch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BV Delftsch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BV Delftsch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.