Precision Optics Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| POCI Stock | 5.02 0.60 13.57% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Precision Optics on the next trading day is expected to be 5.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.66. Precision Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Precision Optics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Precision Optics' stock price is under 67 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 23rd of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Precision, making its price go up or down. Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.592 |
Using Precision Optics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Precision Optics from the perspective of Precision Optics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Precision Optics on the next trading day is expected to be 5.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.66. Precision Optics after-hype prediction price | USD 5.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Precision | Build AI portfolio with Precision Stock |
Precision Optics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Precision price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Precision using various technical indicators. When you analyze Precision charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Precision Optics Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Precision Optics on the next trading day is expected to be 5.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Precision Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Precision Optics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Precision Optics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Precision Optics | Precision Optics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Precision Optics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Precision Optics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Precision Optics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.44 and 8.70, respectively. We have considered Precision Optics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Precision Optics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Precision Optics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0316 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0958 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0214 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.655 |
Predictive Modules for Precision Optics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Precision Optics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Precision Optics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Precision Optics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Precision Optics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Precision Optics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Precision Optics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Precision Optics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Precision Optics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Precision Optics' historical news coverage. Precision Optics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.41 and 8.63, respectively. We have considered Precision Optics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Precision Optics is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Precision Optics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Precision Optics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Precision Optics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Precision Optics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Precision Optics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 3.63 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.02 | 5.02 | 0.00 |
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Precision Optics Hype Timeline
Precision Optics is at this time traded for 5.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Precision is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on Precision Optics is about 60500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.02. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Precision Optics was at this time reported as 1.42. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.85. Precision Optics had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:3 split on the 2nd of November 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Precision Optics to cross-verify your projections.Precision Optics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Precision Optics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Precision Optics' future price movements. Getting to know how Precision Optics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Precision Optics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MLSS | Milestone Scientific | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.89 | (6.90) | 25.35 | |
| MYO | Myomo Inc | (0.01) | 2 per month | 4.57 | (0.02) | 8.79 | (6.67) | 21.89 | |
| IGC | India Globalization Capital | 0.08 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.90 | (6.06) | 25.10 | |
| NXGL | Nexgel Inc | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 12.42 | (7.78) | 35.89 | |
| RVP | Retractable Technologies | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.82 | (3.70) | 15.71 | |
| MODD | Modular Medical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.92 | (0.01) | 10.42 | (8.11) | 45.40 | |
| APUS | Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US | (0.28) | 9 per month | 7.49 | 0.05 | 15.05 | (14.12) | 53.45 | |
| MIRA | MIRA Pharmaceuticals Common | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.68 | (5.88) | 18.98 | |
| HBIO | Harvard Bioscience | 0.01 | 8 per month | 4.77 | 0.12 | 12.86 | (6.49) | 57.46 | |
| NTRB | Nutriband | 0.19 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 9.04 | (7.23) | 32.02 |
Other Forecasting Options for Precision Optics
For every potential investor in Precision, whether a beginner or expert, Precision Optics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Precision Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Precision. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Precision Optics' price trends.Precision Optics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Precision Optics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Precision Optics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Precision Optics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Precision Optics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Precision Optics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Precision Optics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Precision Optics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Precision Optics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Precision Optics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Precision Optics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Precision Optics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting precision stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.48 | |||
| Variance | 12.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.82 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.58) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Precision Optics
The number of cover stories for Precision Optics depends on current market conditions and Precision Optics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Precision Optics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Precision Optics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Precision Optics Short Properties
Precision Optics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Precision Optics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Precision Optics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Precision Optics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Precision Optics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Precision Optics to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Precision Stock please use our How to Invest in Precision Optics guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Precision Optics. If investors know Precision will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Precision Optics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.85) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.592 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Precision Optics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Precision that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Precision Optics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Precision Optics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Precision Optics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Precision Optics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Precision Optics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Precision Optics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Precision Optics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.