Plug Power Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| PLUG Stock | USD 2.16 0.00 0.00% |
When consensus views on Plug Power shift rapidly due to news or events, the market often over- or under-corrects. This module attempts to capture that dynamic and convert it into a structured near-term price forecast.
As measured in the latest period, Plug Power posts the short-cycle RSI reading of 51, consistent with balanced price action. This neutral positioning leaves Plug Power equally poised for a directional breakout in either direction.Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter -0.09 | EPS Estimate Current Year -0.30 | EPS Estimate Next Year -0.22 | Wall Street Target Price 2.7375 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter -0.11 |
The hype-based view summarizes Plug Power's price response to recent headlines and peer coverage. This section reviews Plug Power's options positioning and short interest as sentiment context.
Short Interest Activity for Plug Power
Changes in Plug Power's short interest between reporting periods can be as informative as the absolute level. A rapid increase warrants caution; a rapid decrease may signal an emerging change in sentiment toward Plug Power.
200 Day MA 2.0319 | Short Percent 0.2361 | Short Ratio 3.41 | Shares Short Prior Month 346.6 M | 50 Day MA 2.1436 |
RSI Indicator for Plug
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Plug Power on the next trading day is expected to be 2.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.77.Headline Hype vs Price - Plug Power
Public headlines and social commentary around Plug Power influence how investors perceive risk and opportunity. Quantifying Plug Power's sentiment makes these subjective biases actionable within a systematic trading framework.
Investor sentiment toward Plug Power acts as a feedback loop: positive news drives price up, which generates more positive sentiment, attracting more buyers. Understanding where this cycle stands helps investors avoid chasing stocks near peaks.
Plug Power Implied Volatility | 0.91 |
The term structure of Plug Power's implied volatility - how it varies across option expiration dates - reveals whether the options market views near-term or longer-term risks as more significant for Plug Power.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Plug Power on the next trading day is expected to be 2.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.77.Plug Power after-hype prediction price | $ 2.16 |
Hype indicators are listed alongside forecasting models, technical studies, analyst consensus, and earnings expectations.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Plug Power provides a cross-check on projections for Plug Power. The historical view provides additional context.Rule 16 Overview for current Plug contract
Based on Rule 16, the market-implied daily move for 2026-06-18 options is about 5.69%. This context is informational: with Plug Power near $ 2.16, the daily move estimate is $ 0.12 .
Open Interest by Expiration: Plug 2026-06-18
Open interest data for Plug Power reflects active contracts and can be read alongside price and volatility context.
Plug Power Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Plug price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Plug using various technical indicators. When you analyze Plug charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 17th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Plug Power on the next trading day is expected to be 2.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.04 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.77 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Plug Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Plug Power's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Plug Power | Plug Power Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Plug Power for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 0.02 on the downside to about 8.06 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Plug Power stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Plug Power stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7625 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1602 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.076 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.7736 |
Mean reversion in Plug Power is distinct from trend following. Where trend followers ride price momentum, mean reversion investors bet that extended moves will reverse once the underlying driver runs out of fuel.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Probability distribution analysis for Plug Power provides an objective framework for evaluating risk/reward tradeoffs. By comparing the width of Plug Power's upside distribution against the downside, investors can make more calibrated position sizing decisions.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The empirical analysis of Plug Power's news impact provides an evidence-based estimate of potential price movement around upcoming announcements. Plug Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 8.17, respectively. This estimate is conditional on the type and significance of the news event and should be interpreted in that context for Plug Power.
Current Value
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of Plug Power across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. Plug Power is High at this time.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Plug Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Plug Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Plug Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 6.01 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 6 Events | 8 Events | In 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.16 | 2.16 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
Plug Power is at this time traded for 2.16. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Plug is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Plug Power is about 1239.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.13. About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Plug Power was at this time reported as 0.7. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.84. Plug Power recorded a loss per share of 1.42. The company had its last dividend issued on the 29th of October 2010. The firm completed a 1:10 stock split on 20th of May 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 6 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Plug Power provides a cross-check on projections for Plug Power. The historical view provides additional context.Related Hype Analysis
By analyzing how Plug Power's sector peers have historically reacted to different types of news, investors can build a mental model of the sentiment dynamics that typically precede changes in Plug Power's own price.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EAF | GrafTech International | 0.27 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.17 | 6.06 | -8.31 | 56.12 | |
| HAYW | Hayward Holdings | 0.57 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 3.15 | -3.19 | 8.99 | |
| AMPX | Amprius Technologies | 1.60 | 10 per month | 6.29 | 0.13 | 11.63 | -8.39 | 28.89 | |
| EOSE | Eos Energy Enterprises | 0.13 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.14 | 11.13 | -9.73 | 52.62 | |
| HAFN | Hafnia Limited | -0.03 | 5 per month | 1.83 | 0.15 | 3.51 | -2.57 | 13.66 | |
| MATX | Matson Inc | 1.45 | 8 per month | 1.53 | 0.20 | 3.38 | -2.81 | 15.81 | |
| GTLS | Chart Industries | -0.19 | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.43 | 0.20 | -0.16 | 0.48 | |
| AIR | AAR Corp | -0.93 | 9 per month | 1.73 | 0.19 | 4.20 | -2.45 | 12.48 | |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 0.32 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 2.97 | -3.59 | 12.19 | |
| KAI | Kadant Inc | -8.04 | 10 per month | 2.04 | 0.08 | 3.74 | -3.65 | 9.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for Plug Power
Investors evaluating Plug at any level need to understand the significance of Plug Power's price movement for their investment outcomes. The presence of noise in Plug Stock price charts demands careful analysis to avoid misinterpreting short-term fluctuations as trends.Plug Power Related Equities
The following equities are related to Plug Power within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Plug Power against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Plug Power Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Plug Power help investors evaluate how the stock tracks overall market momentum and conditions. These signals are used to determine optimal timing for entering or exiting Plug Power positions.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0699 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.19 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.16 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.05 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.37 |
Plug Power Risk Indicators
The assessment of Plug Power's risk indicators plays a key role in forecasting its future price and managing investment exposure. Investors who measure Plug Power's risk profile carefully are better equipped to decide how to manage their positions.
| Mean Deviation | 4.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.91 | |||
| Variance | 34.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.57 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -5.12 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Plug Power
Story coverage around Plug Power often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Plug Power Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Plug Power can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 555.3 M |
More Resources for Plug Stock Analysis
A structured review of Plug Power often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Financial ratios provide a structured lens for assessing Plug Power's profitability and growth trends. Below are reports that help frame Plug Power Stock in context:Historical Fundamental Analysis of Plug Power provides a cross-check on projections for Plug Power. The historical view provides additional context. For a practical introduction to investing in Plug Stock, check out our How to Buy Plug Power guide.Plug Power currently shows ROE of -120.5%, market cap of 3 Billion. This analysis of Plug Power works best as a complementary layer when evaluating how the security fits in a broader portfolio. For Plug Power, the analytical tools below add portfolio-level context that single-security review alone cannot provide. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Earnings Share -1.42 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.176 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Plug Power is measured differently than book value, which reflects Plug accounting equity. Plug Power's market capitalization is 3 B. Plug Power P/B of 3.06 reflects a market valuation far exceeding accounting equity. Enterprise value stands at 3.63 B. Intrinsic value reflects what Plug Power's fundamentals imply about worth, which may differ from both the trading price and the book figure. Analytical frameworks help reconcile those views.
The concept of value for Plug Power differs from its quoted price, since each reflects a different lens. For Plug Power, key inputs include a P/B ratio of 3.06, a profit margin of -2.3%, ROE of -120.5%, and revenue of 709.92 M. The actual Plug Power transaction price is determined by real-time order flow on the exchange.