Pacific Funds Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

PLCNX Fund  USD 10.63  0.02  0.19%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Pacific Funds Strategic on the next trading day is expected to be 10.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.07. Pacific Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Pacific Funds' share price is at 56 indicating that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pacific Funds, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pacific Funds' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pacific Funds Strategic, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Pacific Funds hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pacific Funds Strategic from the perspective of Pacific Funds response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Pacific Funds Strategic on the next trading day is expected to be 10.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.07.

Pacific Funds after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pacific Funds to cross-verify your projections.

Pacific Funds Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pacific price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pacific using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pacific charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Pacific Funds price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Pacific Funds Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Pacific Funds Strategic on the next trading day is expected to be 10.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pacific Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pacific Funds' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pacific Funds Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pacific FundsPacific Funds Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Pacific Funds Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pacific Funds' Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pacific Funds' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.51 and 10.76, respectively. We have considered Pacific Funds' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.63
10.63
Expected Value
10.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pacific Funds mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pacific Funds mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.6202
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0175
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0017
SAESum of the absolute errors1.0682
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Pacific Funds Strategic historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Pacific Funds

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pacific Funds Strategic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5010.6310.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4910.6210.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.5710.6110.65
Details

Pacific Funds After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pacific Funds at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pacific Funds or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Pacific Funds, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pacific Funds Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pacific Funds' mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pacific Funds' historical news coverage. Pacific Funds' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.50 and 10.76, respectively. We have considered Pacific Funds' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.63
10.63
After-hype Price
10.76
Upside
Pacific Funds is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pacific Funds Strategic is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pacific Funds Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Pacific Funds is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pacific Funds backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pacific Funds, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
0.13
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.63
10.63
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Pacific Funds Hype Timeline

Pacific Funds Strategic is at this time traded for 10.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pacific is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pacific Funds is about 1560.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.63. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pacific Funds to cross-verify your projections.

Pacific Funds Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pacific Funds' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pacific Funds' future price movements. Getting to know how Pacific Funds' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pacific Funds may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Pacific Funds

For every potential investor in Pacific, whether a beginner or expert, Pacific Funds' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pacific Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pacific. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pacific Funds' price trends.

Pacific Funds Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pacific Funds mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pacific Funds could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pacific Funds by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pacific Funds Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pacific Funds mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pacific Funds shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pacific Funds mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Pacific Funds Strategic entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pacific Funds Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pacific Funds' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pacific Funds' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pacific mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Pacific Funds

The number of cover stories for Pacific Funds depends on current market conditions and Pacific Funds' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pacific Funds is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pacific Funds' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Pacific Mutual Fund

Pacific Funds financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pacific Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pacific with respect to the benefits of owning Pacific Funds security.
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