Premier Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PINC Stock | USD 20.27 0.00 0.00% |
Premier Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Premier stock prices and determine the direction of Premier's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Premier's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Premier's share price is below 30 at the present time indicating that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Premier, making its price go up or down. Momentum 25
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2988 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.42 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.6231 | Wall Street Target Price 28.25 |
Using Premier hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Premier from the perspective of Premier response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Premier using Premier's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Premier using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Premier's stock price.
Premier Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Premier's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Premier. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Premier stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 23.352 | Short Percent 0.2296 | Short Ratio 10.84 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.2 M | 50 Day MA 28.007 |
Premier Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Premier on the next trading day is expected to be 20.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.31.Premier Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Premier's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Premier. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Premier can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Premier. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Premier's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Premier.
Premier Implied Volatility | 0.0757 |
Premier's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Premier stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Premier's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Premier stock will not fluctuate a lot when Premier's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Premier on the next trading day is expected to be 20.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.31. Premier after-hype prediction price | USD 20.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Premier to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Premier contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Premier will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.004731% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Premier trading at USD 20.27, that is roughly USD 9.59E-4 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Premier's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Premier options at the current volatility level of 0.0757%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Premier Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Premier's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Premier's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Premier stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Premier's open interest, investors have to compare it to Premier's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Premier is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Premier. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Premier Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Premier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Premier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Premier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Premier Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Premier on the next trading day is expected to be 20.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 1.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Premier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Premier's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Premier Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Premier | Premier Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Premier Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Premier's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Premier's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.13 and 24.41, respectively. We have considered Premier's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Premier stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Premier stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4544 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1295 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1885 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0094 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.31 |
Predictive Modules for Premier
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Premier. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Premier After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Premier at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Premier or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Premier, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Premier Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Premier's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Premier's historical news coverage. Premier's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.14 and 24.42, respectively. We have considered Premier's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Premier is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Premier is based on 3 months time horizon.
Premier Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Premier is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Premier backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Premier, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 4.14 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.27 | 20.28 | 0.05 |
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Premier Hype Timeline
Premier is at this time traded for 20.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Premier is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 20.28 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.51%. The volatility of related hype on Premier is about 4902.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.23. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.01 B. Net Income was 62.17 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 733.54 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Premier to cross-verify your projections.Premier Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Premier's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Premier's future price movements. Getting to know how Premier's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Premier may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MODD | Modular Medical | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 10.42 | (8.11) | 45.40 | |
| MYO | Myomo Inc | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.79 | (7.61) | 21.89 | |
| RBOT | Vicarious Surgical | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 11.90 | (9.09) | 36.01 | |
| JSPR | Jasper Therapeutics | (0.56) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 7.73 | (9.04) | 31.75 | |
| VRCA | Verrica Pharmaceuticals | (0.31) | 11 per month | 4.72 | 0.15 | 13.76 | (9.24) | 52.65 | |
| PIII | P3 Health Partners | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.44) | 6.04 | (9.66) | 25.37 | |
| NMTC | Neuroone Medical Technologies | 0.01 | 9 per month | 3.81 | 0.03 | 9.59 | (6.85) | 23.46 | |
| ECOR | Electrocore LLC | 0.07 | 10 per month | 3.69 | 0.10 | 10.17 | (6.20) | 31.20 | |
| BTAI | BioXcel Therapeutics | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.90 | (7.32) | 22.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Premier
For every potential investor in Premier, whether a beginner or expert, Premier's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Premier Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Premier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Premier's price trends.Premier Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Premier stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Premier could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Premier by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Premier Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Premier stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Premier shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Premier stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Premier entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Premier Risk Indicators
The analysis of Premier's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Premier's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting premier stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9233 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.72 | |||
| Variance | 13.8 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Premier
The number of cover stories for Premier depends on current market conditions and Premier's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Premier is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Premier's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Premier Short Properties
Premier's future price predictability will typically decrease when Premier's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Premier often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Premier's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Premier's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 91.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Premier to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Premier Stock refer to our How to Trade Premier Stock guide.You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Will Health Care Providers & Services sector continue expanding? Could Premier diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Premier. Anticipated expansion of Premier directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Premier data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | Dividend Share 0.84 | Earnings Share 0.17 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Understanding Premier requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Premier's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Premier's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Premier's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Premier's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Premier should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Premier's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.