Pet Valu Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| PET Stock | 22.79 -0.20 -0.87% |
Momentum
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.063 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3941 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6845 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.9108 | Wall Street Target Price 32.15 |
The hype-based summary links Pet Valu Holdings attention patterns with price response and peers.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Pet Valu Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 21.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.33.Pet Valu after-hype prediction price | C$ 22.79 |
This analysis adds an attention layer to forecasting, technical studies, analyst estimates, and earnings views.
Pet |
Pet Valu Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 17th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Pet Valu Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 21.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.66 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.70 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.33 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pet Valu's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Pet Valu | Pet Valu Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Pet Valu's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The current forecast range spans downside near 19.10 and upside near 23.20.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pet Valu stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pet Valu stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.747 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6611 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.024 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 40.3293 |
The degree to which Pet Valu's exhibits mean reversion depends on how efficiently the market prices new information. In highly covered equities, the mean reversion window tends to be shorter.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The after-hype price distribution for Pet Valu helps investors understand how much of Pet Valu's predicted return comes from the central scenario versus tail outcomes. Strategies that rely on tail events for Pet Valu are inherently more speculative.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Historical news patterns for Pet Valu reveal how the market has historically digested different types of information about Pet Valu's business and market environment. Pet Valu's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.76 and 24.82, respectively. The model extrapolates these patterns to estimate likely price boundaries following the next significant.
Current Value
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of Pet Valu Holdings across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. The practical value is that it frames how far price could retrace or stabilize once the headline cycle loses intensity.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pet Valu is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pet Valu backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pet Valu, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.05 | 0.17 | 0.06 | 5 Events | 2 Events | In 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.79 | 22.79 | 0.00 |
|
Hype Timeline
Pet Valu Holdings is at this time traded for 22.79on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Pet is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pet Valu is about 1227.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.73. About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had its last dividend issued on the 31st of March 2026. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pet Valu to cross-verify projections for Pet Valu. The historical series provides projection context.Related Hype Analysis
Peer hype analysis helps investors build a more complete picture of Pet Valu's competitive environment by quantifying the market's sensitivity to news across all major players in Pet Valu's sector.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LNF | Leons Furniture Limited | -0.11 | 3 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 1.91 | -2.67 | 9.77 | |
| WPK | Winpak | 0.43 | 6 per month | 1.35 | 0.08 | 2.47 | -1.53 | 9.55 | |
| RCH | Richelieu Hardware | -0.77 | 7 per month | 1.03 | 0.13 | 1.79 | -1.49 | 6.72 | |
| TOY | Spin Master Corp | 0.18 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 2.55 | -2.45 | 8.23 | |
| GOOS | Canada Goose Holdings | -0.30 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 4.68 | -3.86 | 24.28 | |
| NFI | NFI Group | -0.45 | 1 per month | 1.38 | 0.16 | 4.51 | -2.40 | 16.03 | |
| GBT | BMTC Group | 0.00 | 8 per month | 1.95 | 0.06 | 5.00 | -3.49 | 12.69 | |
| AW | A W FOOD | 0.74 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 1.83 | -2.07 | 5.97 | |
| KITS | Kits Eyecare | -0.60 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.0007 | 5.25 | -4.52 | 22.70 | |
| MTY | MTY Food Group | -0.79 | 6 per month | 1.27 | 0.05 | 3.97 | -2.37 | 10.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pet Valu
The price trajectory of Pet is the primary concern for any investor assessing it as an opportunity. Pet Stock price charts are filled with noise that can easily mislead uninformed investment decisions.Pet Valu Related Equities
The following equities are related to Pet Valu within the Consumer Discretionary space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Pet Valu against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pet Valu Market Strength Events
Understanding the market strength of Pet Valu stock enables investors to assess the security's momentum and responsiveness to broader market forces. These indicators are essential tools for timing trades in Pet Valu Holdings with greater precision.
Pet Valu Risk Indicators
Reviewing Pet Valu's basic risk indicators is essential for investors who want to forecast its price and manage their investment risk effectively. This analysis helps identify the amount of risk involved in holding Pet Valu's and informs decisions about hedging and position.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Variance | 3.95 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pet Valu
Story coverage around Pet Valu Holdings often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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Pet Valu Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Pet Valu Holdings can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 70.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35.7 M |
More Resources for Pet Stock Analysis
Other Information on Investing in Pet Stock
Financial ratios for Pet Valu provide valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Pet to other measures in a consistent way.