Pacific Empire Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| PEMSF Stock | USD 0.04 -0.0011 -2.53% |
This page provides reference data for Pacific Empire using Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting. The projected value and error metrics are calculated from available daily price observations.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pacific Empire Minerals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.32.When Pacific Empire Minerals prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Pacific Empire Minerals trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Pacific Empire observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. This Double Exponential Smoothing reference page for Pacific Empire presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes. Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pacific Empire Minerals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.00005 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.32 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pacific Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pacific Empire's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Pacific Empire Minerals focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The current forecast range spans downside near 0.0004 and upside near 6.88.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pacific Empire pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pacific Empire pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 8.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0054 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0668 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.3238 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pacific Empire
For investors considering Pacific, Pacific Empire's price movement is the most direct driver of investment returns. Noise in Pacific Pink Sheet price charts can make identifying meaningful trends difficult without dedicated analytical tools.Pacific Empire Related Equities
The following equities are related to Pacific Empire within the Other Industrial Metals & Mining space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Pacific Empire against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pacific Empire Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Pacific Empire provide investors with a view of how the pink sheet performs across different market environments. By analyzing these indicators, traders can determine the best moments to enter or exit positions in Pacific Empire Minerals.
| Accumulation Distribution | 55430.21 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.16 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0439 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0434 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.0021 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.0011 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 34.29 |
Pacific Empire Risk Indicators
A structured analysis of Pacific Empire's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve the accuracy of price forecasts. Understanding the risk embedded in Pacific Empire's allows investors to decide whether to accept, reduce, or hedge their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 7.48 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 16.41 | |||
| Variance | 269.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 66.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 42.15 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -11.20 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pacific Empire
Coverage intensity for Pacific Empire Minerals matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Financial ratios for Pacific Empire organize key financial data into structured relationships. They reflect how financial results tie into valuation measures.