PepinNini Minerals Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| PEIMF Stock | USD 0.09 -0.0046 -5.12% |
This page provides Double Exponential Smoothing reference data for PepinNini Minerals Limited, calculated from historical daily prices. The model output shown here is derived from PepinNini Minerals's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PepinNini Minerals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.001 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06.When PepinNini Minerals Limited prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any PepinNini Minerals Limited trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent PepinNini Minerals observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. The Double Exponential Smoothing reference information for PepinNini Minerals is based on available price data and is intended for informational purposes. Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PepinNini Minerals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.001 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.000011 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PepinNini Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PepinNini Minerals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PepinNini Minerals | PepinNini Minerals Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for PepinNini Minerals Limited uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. At the moment, the model places downside around 0.0009 and upside around 4.02 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PepinNini Minerals pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PepinNini Minerals pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -2.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.001 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0119 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0591 |
Other Forecasting Options for PepinNini Minerals
The autocorrelation structure of PepinNini Minerals' daily returns reveals whether PepinNini exhibits momentum, mean-reversion, or random-walk behavior. Separating these elements helps distinguish persistent directional moves from temporary noise in PepinNini Pink Sheet price data.PepinNini Minerals Related Equities
Checking PepinNini Minerals against related firms helps investors see where the stock stands among peers. Market cap and total value checks frame PepinNini Minerals' size within the competitive field. Falling behind peers on key ratios may signal headwinds or execution issues worth looking into. Combining quantitative ratios with qualitative context such as management quality and market position sharpens peer comparisons.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PepinNini Minerals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to PepinNini Minerals pink sheet help assess momentum and resilience across environments. These indicators support informed market timing decisions when analyzing PepinNini Minerals.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0852 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0852 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.0023 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.0046 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.25 |
PepinNini Minerals Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for PepinNini Minerals is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PepinNini Minerals' investment and either accepting or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.81 | |||
| Variance | 14.52 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PepinNini Minerals
Coverage intensity for PepinNini Minerals Limited matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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Financial ratios reflect how major financial figures connect within PepinNini Minerals. They frame financial performance across earnings, cash flow, and valuation.