Perrot Duval Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| PEDU Stock | CHF 47.00 0.00 0.00% |
This page provides Polynomial Regression reference data for Perrot Duval Holding, calculated from historical daily prices. The model output shown here is derived from Perrot Duval's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes. Projected values and accuracy measures are included for reference.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Perrot Duval Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 46.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.47.A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Perrot Duval historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm The Polynomial Regression reference information for Perrot Duval is based on available price data and is intended for informational purposes. Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Perrot Duval Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 46.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.06 , mean absolute percentage error of 7.22 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.47 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Perrot Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Perrot Duval's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Perrot Duval's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. No forecasting approach has been shown to beat all others over time. Investors should treat any model output as a guide, not a guarantee.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Perrot Duval stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Perrot Duval stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.9252 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0559 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0421 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 127.4681 |
Other Forecasting Options for Perrot Duval
The autocorrelation structure of Perrot Duval's daily returns reveals whether Perrot exhibits momentum, mean-reversion, or random-walk behavior. Separating these elements helps distinguish persistent directional moves from temporary noise in Perrot Stock price data. Stochastic oscillator analysis compares Perrot Duval's closing price to its range over a given period.Perrot Duval Related Equities
The peer firms below within the Industrials space can help frame Perrot Duval's pricing and running costs in context. Key comparison metrics include price-to-earnings, profit margin, and revenue growth across Perrot Duval's peer group. How Perrot Duval ranks within this group can shift over time as the competitive picture changes.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Perrot Duval Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Perrot Duval stock help assess momentum and resilience across environments. These indicators support informed market timing decisions when analyzing Perrot Duval. For Perrot Duval Holding, market strength indicators complement fundamental analysis with timing context.
Perrot Duval Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Perrot Duval is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Perrot Duval's investment and either accepting or mitigating it. Understanding the risk profile of Perrot Duval's allows investors to make more informed decisions about position sizing.
| Mean Deviation | 3.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.57 | |||
| Variance | 31.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 31.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 21.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -4.90 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Perrot Duval
A coverage review of Perrot Duval Holding shows when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Perrot Duval Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Perrot Duval Holding matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 134.5 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 M |
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