Prestige Brand Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| PBH Stock | USD 61.45 -0.45 -0.73% |
Momentum
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
The summary frames Prestige Brand's price response to attention shifts and peer coverage.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Prestige Brand Holdings on the next trading day is projected to be 67.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.12.Prestige Brand after-hype prediction price | $ 61.45 |
Sentiment indicators are framed alongside forecasting, technical analysis, analyst estimates, and momentum.
Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prestige Brand provides a cross-check on projections for Prestige Brand. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Prestige Brand Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Prestige price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Prestige using various technical indicators. When you analyze Prestige charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 16th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Prestige Brand Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 67.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.44 , mean absolute percentage error of 4.01 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.12 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Prestige Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Prestige Brand's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Prestige Brand | Prestige Brand Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Prestige Brand's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The current forecast range spans downside near 66.32 and upside near 69.40.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Prestige Brand stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Prestige Brand stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.5003 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4447 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0222 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 88.124 |
Mean reversion is the tendency of Prestige Brand's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Investors who identify when Prestige Brand's is significantly above or below its mean may find compelling entry or exit opportunities.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
This probability density chart for Prestige Brand shows how predicted future prices are distributed across a range of outcomes. Wider distributions reflect higher uncertainty, while narrow distributions indicate greater consensus about Prestige Brand's likely price range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Historical news analysis for Prestige Brand provides statistically derived price boundaries for the session following a significant headline. Prestige Brand's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.91 and 62.99, respectively. These boundaries are derived from Prestige Brand's past price reactions to comparable news events, not forward-looking forecasts.
Current Value
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of Prestige Brand Holdings across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. The practical value is that it frames how far price could retrace or stabilize once the headline cycle loses intensity.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Prestige Brand is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Prestige Brand backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Prestige Brand, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events | 4 Events | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
61.45 | 61.45 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2026 Prestige Brand Holdings is traded for 61.45. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Prestige is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Prestige Brand is about 6416.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.45. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.59. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Prestige Brand Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.99. The company had its last dividend issued on the 27th of December 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prestige Brand provides a cross-check on projections for Prestige Brand. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Related Hype Analysis
Monitoring how Prestige Brand's competitors respond to market-moving news provides a leading indicator for how Prestige Brand itself may react to similar events. Peer hype analysis captures this cross-asset sentiment signal.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LIVN | LivaNova PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 2.35 | -3.15 | 9.03 | |
| CON | Concentra Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.15 | 2.99 | -2.01 | 8.30 | |
| ATEC | Alphatec Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.16 | 3.45 | -4.16 | 25.79 | |
| ZLAB | Zai Lab | 0.89 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 6.02 | -3.77 | 10.90 | |
| CPRX | Catalyst Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.0039 | 3.21 | -3.75 | 10.90 | |
| ICUI | ICU Medical | -1.10 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 4.04 | -3.70 | 8.88 | |
| IRON | Disc Medicine | 0.41 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.10 | 4.63 | -7.75 | 27.84 | |
| LEGN | Legend Biotech Corp | 0.28 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.11 | 5.78 | -6.02 | 19.65 | |
| HTFL | Heartflow Common Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 6.73 | -7.99 | 25.62 | |
| PRVA | Privia Health Group | -0.24 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 4.14 | -4.14 | 14.63 |
Other Forecasting Options for Prestige Brand
For investors of all experience levels considering Prestige, understanding Prestige Brand's price movement is fundamental to making sound investment decisions. Prestige Stock price charts contain significant noise that can obscure meaningful trends.Prestige Brand Related Equities
The following equities are related to Prestige Brand within the Health Care space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Prestige Brand against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Prestige Brand Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Prestige Brand stock provide investors with a framework for assessing how the security responds to changing market conditions. These indicators help determine optimal entry and exit points for trading Prestige Brand.
Prestige Brand Risk Indicators
Assessing Prestige Brand's risk indicators is a critical component of any rigorous approach to forecasting its future price. Understanding the risk involved in holding Prestige Brand's allows investors to make an informed decision about whether to accept or mitigate that exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Variance | 2.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.18 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Prestige Brand
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Prestige Brand Holdings can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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Prestige Brand Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Prestige Brand Holdings is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 97.9 M |
More Resources for Prestige Stock Analysis
A comprehensive view of Prestige Brand Holdings starts with financial statements and ratio context. Key ratios help frame profitability, efficiency, and growth context for Prestige Brand Holdings Stock. Outlined below are key reports that provide context for Prestige Brand Holdings Stock:Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prestige Brand provides a cross-check on projections for Prestige Brand. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion. Prestige Brand P/E of 18.23 alongside ROE at 10.31% frames the starting point - the resources below add portfolio-level context that single-security analysis cannot provide alone. That valuation within Healthcare invites comparison with Drug Manufacturers—Specialty & Generic peers using the tools below to judge whether the multiple is justified. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Prestige Brand Holdings's market price can diverge from book value, the accounting figure shown on Prestige's balance sheet. Prestige Brand's market capitalization is 2.95 B. Prestige Brand P/B of 1.59 shows the market assigns a modest premium over accounting equity. Enterprise value stands at 3.92 B. Value and price for Prestige Brand are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.
Note that Prestige Brand's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For Prestige Brand, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 18.23, a P/B ratio of 1.59, a profit margin of 16.9%, and ROE of 10.31%. In practice, Prestige Brand price is set by the continuous auction process on its listing exchange.