Petro Usa Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

PBAJ Stock  USD 0.0005  0.00  0.00%   
This reference page presents Double Exponential Smoothing forecast data for Petro Usa. The model output shown here is derived from Petro Usa's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Petro Usa on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.When Petro Usa prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Petro Usa trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Petro Usa observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. This Double Exponential Smoothing forecast data for Petro Usa is sourced from the most recent available trading data and is intended solely as reference information.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Petro Usa works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Petro Usa on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Petro Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Petro Usa's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Forecasted Value

The next-day forecast for Petro Usa focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 0.0005 on the downside to about 0.0005 on the upside.
Market Value
0.0005
0.0005
Downside
0.0005
Expected Value
0.0005
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Petro Usa pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Petro Usa pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Petro Usa prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Petro Usa trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Petro Usa observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Other Forecasting Options for Petro Usa

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

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Common Stock Shares Outstanding30.9 K
Short Long Term Debt3795.00

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Other Information on Investing in Petro Pink Sheet

At Petro Usa, financial ratios outline links between core financial data. Each ratio adds context around profit, cash flow, and total value. Values are aligned to support consistent measurement over time.